Mathias Delorge
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mathias Delorge's performance-implied value at EUR 1.6M-5.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.3M-8.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.0M-11.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.15x the positional average in the league (1053 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 53
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 44th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €6.2M vs market €7.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 18% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1053 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.17
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 44 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1403
- Opponent strength
- 1358
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- 18%
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.0M – €11.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 50 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -3% (IQR -54% to +120%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1053 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 16 | 1053 | 39% | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 1358 | 1403 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 28 | 2397 | 89% | 1 | 3 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 1367 | 1422 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Sint-Truidense VV | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 30 | 2663 | 99% | 1 | 3 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 1390 | 1324 | 0.63 |
| 2021/22 | Sint-Truidense VV | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 1 | 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.22 | 1300 | 1323 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | KAA Gent | 3 | 227 | 0 | 1 | 1542 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | KAA Gent | 6 | 488 | 1 | 0 | 1309 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guus Til Premier Liga · 2020 | 23 | €9.5M | €7.5M | fell |
| Zelimkhan Bakaev Premier Liga · 2021 | 25 | €5.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Lerin Duarte Eredivisie · 2014 | 24 | €3.0M | €900k | fell |
| Orkun Kökçü Eredivisie · 2021 | 21 | €12.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Bryan Heynen Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 23 | €5.5M | €6.5M | flat |
| Mike Tresor Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 23 | €3.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Michel Vlap Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 23 | €5.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Michal Sadílek Eredivisie · 2023 | 24 | €4.0M | €8.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2024 | Sint-Truiden | KAA Gent | €3.0M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | KSK Lierse Kem. | Sint-Truiden | Free / loan | €250k |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Sint-Truiden | KSK Lierse Kem. | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | St.Truiden U21 | Sint-Truiden | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | STVV Youth | St.Truiden U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.