Jankat Yılmaz
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jankat Yılmaz's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-4.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 93
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 5.9th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €974k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +12% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 30% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1260 (41% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 6 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1204
- Opponent strength
- 1273
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 30%
- Resale range (24m)
- €761k – €4.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -30% to +6%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1260 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 138 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–145%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 59%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Eyüpspor | Super Lig | GK | 14 | 1260 | 41% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1273 | 1204 | 0.40 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdulsamed Damlu Super Lig · 2021 | 22 | €700k | €450k | fell |
| Christos Mandas Super League 1 · 2021 | 20 | €800k | €1.0M | rose |
| Igor Berezovskyi Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 24 | €700k | €350k | fell |
| Antonis Tsiftsis Super League 1 · 2022 | 23 | €600k | €450k | fell |
| Arijanet Murić Eredivisie · 2021 | 23 | €1.3M | €12.0M | rose |
| Marco Bizot Eredivisie · 2013 | 22 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Freddie Woodman Scottish Premiership · 2017 | 20 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Merveille Goblet Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 22 | €700k | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Eyüpspor | Galatasaray | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 12 Sept 2025 | Galatasaray | Eyüpspor | Free / loan | €250k |
| 23 Jan 2025 | Adanaspor | Galatasaray | Free / loan | €225k |
| 29 Jul 2024 | Galatasaray | Adanaspor | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Galatasaray U19 | Galatasaray | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 14 Jun 2021 | Galatasaray U17 | Galatasaray U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 4 Aug 2020 | Galatasaray U16 | Galatasaray U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 25 Mar 2019 | Galatasaray Yth | Galatasaray U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.