Antonis Tsiftsis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Antonis Tsiftsis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-2.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-2.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-2.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 78
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 47.3th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €962k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1029 (44% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 47 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1461
- Opponent strength
- 1249
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €530k – €2.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -42% to +113%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1029 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–179%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | GK | 13 | 1029 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1249 | 1461 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | GK | 2 | 180 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1127 | 1378 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | GK | 3 | 241 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1264 | 1212 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | GK | 2 | 180 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1258 | 1198 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | GK | 14 | 1260 | 54% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1271 | 1252 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | GK | 12 | 1051 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1252 | 1283 | 0.39 |
| 2017/18 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | GK | 1 | 9 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1102 | 1332 | 0.48 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 7 | 660 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1543 |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vasilj Premier Liga · 2021 | 26 | €1.2M | €800k | fell |
| Muhammed Şengezer Super Lig · 2023 | 26 | €1.2M | €2.2M | rose |
| Georgiy Bushchan Premier Liga · 2020 | 26 | €1.4M | €9.0M | rose |
| Davino Verhulst Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 28 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Davy Roef Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 28 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Yohann Thuram Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 27 | €1.7M | €500k | fell |
| Panagiotis Tsintotas Super League 1 · 2021 | 28 | €900k | €350k | fell |
| Marco Bizot Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 25 | €1.2M | €4.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Asteras Aktor | PAOK | €400k | €450k |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Raków | Asteras Tripoli | Free / loan | €400k |
| 8 Jul 2023 | Asteras Tripoli | Raków | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | A. Tripolis U20 | Asteras Tripoli | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.