Arijanet Murić

The model rates Arijanet Murić's performance-implied value at EUR 5.9M-16.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.6M-11.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.5M-10.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

2880 (84% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.00

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.00

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

78 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.93 (rank 4)

Team strength (Elo)

1406

Opponent strength

1504

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€3.5M – €10.0M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 37 pts; changed club; team strength up (+83 Elo); league level down (-108 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -5% (IQR -52% to +43%).

• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.