Álex Jiménez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Álex Jiménez's performance-implied value at EUR 21.5M-47.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 12.5M-36.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 17.1M-46.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 48
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 90.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €24.5M vs market €22.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 12% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2372 (69% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 90 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1641
- Opponent strength
- 1610
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 12%
- Resale range (24m)
- €17.1M – €46.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 32 pts; changed club; league level up (+109 Elo); role change RM -> RB.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -6% (IQR -17% to +22%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | RB | 31 | 2327 | 68% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 1610 | 1643 | 1.30 |
| 2025/26 | AC Milan | Serie A | LM | 1 | 45 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1264 | 1570 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | AC Milan | Serie A | RM | 22 | 1270 | 37% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1488 | 1625 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | AC Milan | Serie A | LB | 3 | 65 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1389 | 1625 | 0.98 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 49 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | AC Milan | 4 | 290 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Supercoppa Italiana | AC Milan | 2 | 111 | 0 | 0 | 1751 |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | AC Milan | 2 | 142 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Thomas Premier League · 2022 | 21 | €12.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Wesley Fofana Premier League · 2021 | 21 | €40.0M | €55.0M | rose |
| Victor Lindelöf Premier League · 2019 | 25 | €35.0M | €24.0M | fell |
| Mohamed Simakan Bundesliga · 2022 | 22 | €22.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Dayot Upamecano Bundesliga · 2020 | 22 | €45.0M | €40.0M | flat |
| Luke Shaw Premier League · 2019 | 24 | €30.0M | €35.0M | flat |
| Kurt Zouma Premier League · 2016 | 22 | €17.0M | €15.0M | flat |
| Levi Colwill Premier League · 2024 | 21 | €50.0M | €50.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | AC Milan | Bournemouth | €18.5M | €22.0M |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Bournemouth | AC Milan | Free / loan | €22.0M |
| 1 Sept 2025 | AC Milan | Bournemouth | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Real Madrid U19 | AC Milan | €14.8M | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Milan U19 | Real Madrid U19 | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 25 Jul 2023 | Real Madrid U19 | Milan U19 | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Real Madrid U18 | Real Madrid U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Real Madrid U17 | Real Madrid U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | R.Madrid Yth. | Real Madrid U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.