Alieu Fadera
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Alieu Fadera's performance-implied value at EUR 3.8M-8.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.9M-5.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.9M-5.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.32x the positional average in the league (976 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 41
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 56.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €3.8M vs market €4.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 976 (28% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.37
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.54
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 57 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1406
- Opponent strength
- 1534
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.9M – €5.7M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 25 pts; changed club; team strength down (-63 Elo); relative output up 30% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -3% (IQR -40% to +108%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 976 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | LW | 28 | 976 | 29% | 2 | 2 | 0.37 | 0.54 | 1534 | 1405 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Como 1907 | Serie A | LW | 28 | 1649 | 48% | 1 | 4 | 0.27 | 0.45 | 1523 | 1461 | 0.99 |
| 2024/25 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | LM | 2 | 180 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1317 | 1535 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 16 | 969 | 36% | 3 | 3 | 0.56 | 0.35 | 1382 | 1459 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 33 | 2723 | 89% | 7 | 7 | 0.46 | 0.56 | 1309 | 1200 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 18 | 643 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1376 | 1199 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 2 | 130 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 2 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 1406 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 2 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 1466 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 1 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1456 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osman Bukari Ligue 1 · 2022 | 24 | €3.0M | €7.0M | rose |
| Yoshinori Muto Bundesliga · 2017 | 25 | €4.5M | €9.0M | rose |
| Anastasios Douvikas Laliga · 2024 | 25 | €6.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Dani Gómez Laliga · 2022 | 24 | €2.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Daniel Ginczek Bundesliga · 2016 | 25 | €4.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Lameck Banda Serie A · 2024 | 23 | €6.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Thievy Bifouma Ligue 1 · 2016 | 24 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Rubén Vargas Bundesliga · 2023 | 25 | €6.5M | €7.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Sassuolo | Como | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 28 Jul 2025 | Como | Sassuolo | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 14 Aug 2024 | Genk | Como | €5.0M | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Zulte Waregem | Genk | €4.0M | €3.0M |
| 3 Aug 2021 | Pohronie | Zulte Waregem | €800k | €300k |
| 4 Mar 2020 | Real de Banjul | Pohronie | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.