Mads Freundlich
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mads Freundlich's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.42x the positional average in the league (1164 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 71
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 8.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €1.3M vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1164 (59% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 8 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1213
- Opponent strength
- 1266
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €849k – €2.8M
Trajectory drivers: league level up (+45 Elo); relative output down 46% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -6% (IQR -32% to +11%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1164 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 23 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | CM | 17 | 1164 | 59% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1266 | 1213 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | CM | 22 | 1388 | 70% | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 1333 | 1264 | 0.38 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Silkeborg IF | 4 | 213 | 0 | 0 | 1371 |
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 7 | 385 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Silkeborg IF | 2 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 1441 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Funso Ojo Jupiler Pro League · 2013 | 22 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Eric Kahl Superliga · 2023 | 22 | €1.0M | €1.8M | rose |
| Janio Bikel Eredivisie · 2017 | 22 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Danny Bejarano Super League 1 · 2018 | 24 | €500k | €350k | fell |
| Jaume Grau Liga Portugal · 2021 | 24 | €800k | €700k | flat |
| Malthe Højholt Superliga · 2023 | 22 | €800k | €1.2M | rose |
| Khaleem Hyland Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 25 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Ruslan Fishchenko Premier Liga · 2022 | 22 | €500k | €500k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2024 | Hobro IK | Silkeborg IF | €535k | €400k |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Hobro IK U19 | Hobro IK | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2020 | Hobro IK Youth | Hobro IK U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Aalborg BK Yth. | Hobro IK Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.