Baton Zabergja
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Baton Zabergja's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.07x the positional average in the league (1282 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 92
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 12.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €558k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -5% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1282 (48% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.35
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.42
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 13 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1186
- Opponent strength
- 1181
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €541k – €1.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -65% to -32%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1282 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 94%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier Liga | RW | 22 | 1282 | 47% | 4 | 1 | 0.35 | 0.42 | 1181 | 1186 | 0.25 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Dinamo City | 4 | 390 | 3 | 2 | 1273 |
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 4 | 278 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kubilay Kanatsızkuş Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
| Levan Shengelia Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €2.0M | €750k | fell |
| Jonathan Morsay Super League 1 · 2023 | 26 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Maximiliano Lovera Super League 1 · 2023 | 24 | €800k | €700k | flat |
| Scott Tiffoney Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Armin Hodzic Super Lig · 2021 | 27 | €1.7M | €250k | fell |
| Vladyslav Naumets Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Henrik Ojamaa Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 24 | €600k | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2025 | Dinamo City | Metalist 1925 | €800k | €1.0M |
| 17 Aug 2023 | SC Gjilani | Dinamo City | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | FC Drenica | SC Gjilani | Free / loan | €125k |
| 20 Aug 2020 | FC Vushtrria | FC Drenica | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | IK Tord | FC Vushtrria | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.