Abdukodir Khusanov
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Abdukodir Khusanov's performance-implied value at EUR 17.2M-48.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 39.5M-75.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 29.0M-58.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 17
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 92.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €60.0M vs market €50.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -11% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 7% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1429 (42% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 93 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1809
- Opponent strength
- 1606
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- 7%
- Resale range (24m)
- €29.0M – €58.3M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+235 Elo); league level up (+106 Elo); relative output down 53% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +18% (IQR -14% to +44%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1429 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Manchester City | Premier League | CB | 21 | 1429 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1606 | 1809 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | CB | 13 | 975 | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1474 | 1484 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Manchester City | Premier League | CB | 6 | 504 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1651 | 1749 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | CB | 11 | 811 | 27% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1472 | 1518 | 0.87 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 6 | 515 | 0 | 0 | 1650 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Uzbekistan | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | RC Lens | 2 | 154 | 0 | 0 | 1441 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1799 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 2 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | RC Lens | 2 | 121 | 0 | 0 | 1513 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | RC Lens | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1766 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibrahima Konaté Premier League · 2023 | 24 | €38.0M | €60.0M | rose |
| John Stones Premier League · 2018 | 24 | €50.0M | €36.0M | fell |
| Oleksandr Zinchenko Premier League · 2020 | 24 | €24.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Joe Gomez Premier League · 2019 | 22 | €35.0M | €30.0M | flat |
| José María Giménez Laliga · 2019 | 24 | €70.0M | €60.0M | flat |
| Andreas Christensen Premier League · 2021 | 25 | €30.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| João Cancelo Premier League · 2020 | 26 | €36.0M | €65.0M | rose |
| Raphaël Varane Laliga · 2015 | 22 | €25.0M | €35.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2025 | Lens | Man City | €40.0M | €12.0M |
| 24 Jul 2023 | Energetik-BGU | Lens | €450k | €400k |
| 17 Mar 2022 | Bunyodkor U18 | Energetik-BGU | €800k | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.