Ibrahima Konaté

27 yrs · Centre-back · France
Liverpool FC · Premier League · Foot: right · Height: 194 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€45.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€29.6M – €63.6M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€41.2M – €68.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€20.4M – €43.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€22.4M – €38.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€29.6M – €63.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€41.2M – €68.1M
Projected value (24 months)€20.4M – €43.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€45.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Ibrahima Konaté's performance-implied value at EUR 41.2M-68.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 29.6M-63.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 20.4M-43.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 17

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceElite99.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.1 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €45.1M vs market €45.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-26% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 1.3
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €60.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
3100 (91% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.03
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.03
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
100 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
1.30 (rank 1)
Team strength (Elo)
1682
Opponent strength
1586
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€20.4M – €43.5M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 16 pts; team strength down (-117 Elo); relative output down 57% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -26% (IQR -35% to -3%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Liverpool FCPremier LeagueCB36310091%100.030.03158616821.30
2024/25Liverpool FCPremier LeagueCB31256575%120.110.06154018001.23
2023/24Liverpool FCPremier LeagueCB22157346%000.000.01152017551.14
2022/23Liverpool FCPremier LeagueCB18155145%000.000.02158117711.23
2021/22Liverpool FCPremier LeagueCB1199029%000.000.02156518981.17
2020/21RB LeipzigBundesligaCB1469423%100.130.07155416571.06
2019/20RB LeipzigBundesligaCB856719%000.000.03156017001.06
2018/19RB LeipzigBundesligaCB28243179%110.070.06150916501.05
2017/18RB LeipzigBundesligaCB16122540%000.000.02152015701.04

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueLiverpool FC10871101679
2025/26Fa CupLiverpool FC421900—
2025/26Community ShieldLiverpool FC190001620
2025/26World CupFrance11400—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueLiverpool FC7649101727
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueLiverpool FC7504001607
2023/24Fa CupLiverpool FC319000—
2022/23Fa CupLiverpool FC327000—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueLiverpool FC3259001736
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueLiverpool FC8720201691
2021/22Fa CupLiverpool FC657011—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueRB Leipzig6475001663
2020/21Dfb PokalRB Leipzig112000—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueRB Leipzig2114001673
2019/20Dfb PokalRB Leipzig19000—
2018/19Dfb PokalRB Leipzig648300—
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingRB Leipzig6483101349
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueRB Leipzig3270101511
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueRB Leipzig4315001643

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Antonio Rüdiger
Premier League · 2019
26€50.0M€28.0Mfell
Victor Lindelöf
Premier League · 2020
26€28.0M€22.0Mfell
Ezri Konsa
Premier League · 2023
26€25.0M€35.0Mrose
Fabinho
Premier League · 2021
28€60.0M€42.0Mfell
Eric Dier
Premier League · 2022
28€28.0M€12.0Mfell
Harry Maguire
Premier League · 2020
27€56.0M€38.0Mfell
Sven Botman
Premier League · 2023
23€45.0M€42.0Mflat
Nicolás Otamendi
Premier League · 2016
28€32.0M€35.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026LiverpoolWithout ClubUnknown€45.0M
1 Jul 2021LeipzigLiverpool€40.0M€35.0M
1 Jul 2017FC SochauxLeipzigFree / loan€300k
1 Jan 2017FC Sochaux BFC SochauxUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016FC Sochaux U19FC Sochaux BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Paris FC Yth.FC Sochaux U19Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Ibrahima Konaté · MoneyballAI