Aleksandar Stanković
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Aleksandar Stanković's performance-implied value at EUR 4.3M-30.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 25.9M-48.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 22.8M-55.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.06x the positional average in the league (2291 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 42
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 73.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €36.3M vs market €32.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 11% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2291 (85% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.24
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 74 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1589
- Opponent strength
- 1347
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 11%
- Resale range (24m)
- €22.8M – €55.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -2% (IQR -23% to +20%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 29 | 2291 | 85% | 4 | 2 | 0.24 | 0.13 | 1347 | 1589 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 10 | 876 | 2 | 2 | 1663 |
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | Club Brugge KV | 10 | 786 | 2 | 0 | 1431 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 213 | 1 | 0 | 1450 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandr Golovin Premier Liga · 2018 | 22 | €18.0M | €20.0M | flat |
| William Carvalho Liga Portugal · 2015 | 23 | €26.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Franck Kessié Serie A · 2019 | 23 | €33.0M | €55.0M | rose |
| Houssem Aouar Ligue 1 · 2020 | 22 | €49.5M | €25.0M | fell |
| Orkun Kökçü Eredivisie · 2023 | 23 | €35.0M | €30.0M | flat |
| Donny van de Beek Eredivisie · 2020 | 23 | €44.0M | €25.0M | fell |
| Davy Klaassen Eredivisie · 2016 | 23 | €15.0M | €15.0M | flat |
| Christian Eriksen Eredivisie · 2013 | 21 | €18.0M | €27.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | Club Brugge | Inter | €23.0M | €32.0M |
| 24 Jul 2025 | Inter | Club Brugge | €9.5M | €11.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | FC Luzern | Inter | Free / loan | €11.0M |
| 3 Jul 2024 | Inter | FC Luzern | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Inter U20 | Inter | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Inter U17 | Inter U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Inter Youth | Inter U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.