Matties Volckaert
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Matties Volckaert's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-2.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-3.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-4.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 29
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 32.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €2.4M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +1% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1505 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 33 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1403
- Opponent strength
- 1378
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €954k – €4.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -46% to +24%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1505 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 17 | 1505 | 56% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1378 | 1403 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | KAA Gent | 9 | 726 | 0 | 0 | 1465 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Pinto Super League 1 · 2013 | 24 | €1.5M | €3.5M | rose |
| Stéphane Sparagna Liga Portugal · 2018 | 23 | €1.3M | €300k | fell |
| Ghislain Konan Liga Portugal · 2017 | 22 | €1.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Mathieu Deplagne Ligue 1 · 2016 | 25 | €2.0M | €1.3M | fell |
| Gideon Mensah Liga Portugal · 2021 | 23 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Martin Milec Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 24 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
| Fabiano Liga Portugal · 2023 | 23 | €3.0M | €1.7M | fell |
| Nathan Liga Portugal · 2024 | 23 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Jong KAA Gent | KAA Gent | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | KRC Gent | Jong KAA Gent | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | KRC Gent U21 | KRC Gent | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.