Benjamin Tahirović

23 yrs · Central midfielder (also DM) · Bosnia-Herzegovina
Bröndby IF · Superliga · Foot: right · Height: 191 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€4.5M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€2.4M – €6.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€650k – €1.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.2M – €9.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€6.1M – -€613k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€2.4M – €6.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€650k – €1.8M
Projected value (24 months)€2.2M – €9.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Benjamin Tahirović's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.4M-6.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.2M-9.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.71x the positional average in the league (1040 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 61

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average25.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable23.3 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €3.9M vs market €4.5M
Expected appreciationNeutral-4% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.47
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €6.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1040 (53% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.17
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.16
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
25 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.47 (rank 12)
Team strength (Elo)
1336
Opponent strength
1258
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.2M – €9.2M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +16% (IQR -40% to +41%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1040 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
23 (MID)
Relative output kept
68%–122%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
65%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Bröndby IFSuperligaCM20104053%110.170.16125813360.47
2024/25Bröndby IFSuperligaCM521211%000.000.11122913420.38
2024/25Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieDM1773%000.000.05120815050.50
2023/24Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieDM26166955%240.320.14131714390.48
2022/23Associazione Sportiva RomaSerie ACM1135210%000.000.13149215780.94

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingBröndby IF6332001396
2025/26World CupBosnia-Herzegovina319800—
2025/26Oddset PokalenBröndby IF17600—
2024/25Oddset PokalenBröndby IF211600—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam148001662
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam6386001504
2023/24Uefa Europa League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam2180001422
2023/24Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam14501—
2022/23Italy CupAssociazione Sportiva Roma26100—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Doğucan Haspolat
Super Lig · 2022
22€2.0M€1.2Mfell
Kristian Thorstvedt
Jupiler Pro League · 2021
22€6.0M€7.5Mrose
André Almeida
Liga Portugal · 2021
21€3.0M€20.0Mrose
Adrien Trébel
Jupiler Pro League · 2015
24€4.0M€5.0Mrose
Umut Güneş
Super Lig · 2022
22€2.8M€3.0Mflat
Dmitriy Rybchinskiy
Premier Liga · 2021
23€2.5M€1.5Mfell
Aytaç Kara
Super Lig · 2016
23€3.5M€1.5Mfell
Aleksandr Chernikov
Premier Liga · 2022
22€2.5M€5.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
3 Feb 2025AjaxBröndby IF€2.8M€3.5M
1 Jul 2023RomaAjax€7.5M€1.5M
1 Nov 2022Roma U19RomaUnknown€250k
1 Feb 2021Vasalunds IFRoma U19€204kData unavailable
1 Feb 2020Djursholm U17Vasalunds IFFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2019Djursholm Jgd.Djursholm U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.