Lamine Sy
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Lamine Sy's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-3.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.4M-4.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-5.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 57
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 40.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €2.6M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1532 (50% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 41 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1402
- Opponent strength
- 1477
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.3M – €5.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -9% (IQR -41% to +19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1532 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 | RB | 24 | 1532 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 1477 | 1402 | 0.88 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pape Souaré Ligue 1 · 2013 | 23 | €1.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Mathieu Peybernes Ligue 1 · 2013 | 23 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Ondrej Celustka Super Lig · 2013 | 24 | €3.0M | €800k | fell |
| Steeve Yago Ligue 1 · 2017 | 25 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Thibault De Smet Ligue 1 · 2023 | 25 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Loris Néry Ligue 1 · 2013 | 22 | €1.8M | €500k | fell |
| Cristiano Biraghi Serie A · 2014 | 22 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Lucas Pires Laliga · 2024 | 23 | €2.0M | €4.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | SM Caen | AJ Auxerre | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | FC Rouen 1899 | SM Caen | Free / loan | €600k |
| 18 Jul 2023 | SM Caen | FC Rouen 1899 | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | SM Caen B | SM Caen | Unknown | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | SM Caen U19 | SM Caen B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | SM Caen U17 | SM Caen U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | SM Caen Jugend | SM Caen U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.