Borys Krushynskyi

24 yrs · Defensive midfielder (also CB, CM, LB) · Ukraine
FK Polissya Zhytomyr · Premier Liga · Foot: left · Height: 190 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 31 Dec 2027
Market value
€1.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€796k – €1.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€618k – €1.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€725k – €2.4M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.2M – €614k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€796k – €1.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€618k – €1.4M
Projected value (24 months)€725k – €2.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Borys Krushynskyi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-2.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Around 18 months left: some discount usually possible.

Bargain Index: 81

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average32.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.1 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €966k vs market €1.5M
Expected appreciationLow-11% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1058 (39% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.09
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.11
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
32 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1290
Opponent strength
1182
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€725k – €2.4M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 35 pts; role change CM -> LB; relative output down 32% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -8% (IQR -31% to +2%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1058 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FK Polissya ZhytomyrPremier LigaLB15105839%010.090.11118212900.25
2024/25FK Polissya ZhytomyrPremier LigaCM29199774%410.230.23120612360.28
2023/24FK Polissya ZhytomyrPremier LigaDM25137351%220.260.18126112650.34
2022/23PFK LvivPremier LigaCB1480830%100.110.09126310290.38
2021/22PFK LvivPremier LigaCB1234721%000.000.06126011970.45
2020/21PFK LvivPremier LigaDM3743%000.000.11119612200.49

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingFK Polissya Zhytomyr4268021321
2024/25Ukrainian CupFK Polissya Zhytomyr323310—
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingFK Polissya Zhytomyr2146001355
2023/24Ukrainian CupFK Polissya Zhytomyr424400—
2021/22Ukrainian CupPFK Lviv22800—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Hüseyin Türkmen
Super Lig · 2021
23€1.4M€900kfell
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko
Premier Liga · 2024
27€2.5M€2.5Mflat
Toby Sibbick
Scottish Premiership · 2024
25€650k€550kflat
Nazım Sangaré
Super Lig · 2021
27€2.5M€500kfell
Montassar Talbi
Super Lig · 2021
23€950k€8.0Mrose
Marco Lund
Superliga · 2021
25€700k€700kflat
Sherel Floranus
Super Lig · 2022
24€1.0M€700kfell
Sigurd Rosted
Superliga · 2020
26€1.2M€1.3Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
6 Jan 2023PFC LvivPolissya€100k€300k
1 Jul 2021PFC Lviv IIPFC LvivUnknown€100k
1 Aug 2020PFC Lviv U19PFC Lviv IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2019PFC Lviv U17PFC Lviv U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Borys Krushynskyi · MoneyballAI