Farès Chaïbi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Farès Chaïbi's performance-implied value at EUR 7.5M-25.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.5M-21.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.9M-23.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.07x the positional average in the league (1797 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 55
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 75.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €14.2M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1797 (59% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.55
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.43
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 76 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1445
- Opponent strength
- 1462
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.9M – €23.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 26 pts; team strength down (-128 Elo); relative output up 42% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -54% to -25%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1797 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | AM | 28 | 1797 | 59% | 2 | 9 | 0.55 | 0.43 | 1462 | 1445 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | AM | 26 | 1008 | 33% | 1 | 3 | 0.36 | 0.30 | 1476 | 1574 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | AM | 28 | 1923 | 63% | 2 | 6 | 0.37 | 0.34 | 1535 | 1498 | 1.01 |
| 2023/24 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | AM | 2 | 56 | 2% | 0 | 1 | 1.61 | 0.53 | 1408 | 1437 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | AM | 36 | 2345 | 69% | 5 | 5 | 0.38 | 0.53 | 1461 | 1347 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 499 | 1 | 1 | 1652 |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Algeria | 5 | 344 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Algeria | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 10 | 434 | 0 | 0 | 1523 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 131 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 172 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Domínguez Serie A · 2022 | 24 | €13.0M | €17.0M | rose |
| Junior Dina Ebimbe Bundesliga · 2024 | 24 | €12.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Tommaso Pobega Serie A · 2022 | 23 | €16.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Matheus Henrique Serie A · 2023 | 26 | €10.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Yann M'Vila Premier Liga · 2014 | 24 | €15.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Daniele Baselli Serie A · 2016 | 24 | €6.5M | €10.0M | rose |
| Wylan Cyprien Ligue 1 · 2019 | 24 | €14.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Amine Harit Bundesliga · 2020 | 23 | €24.0M | €10.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2023 | Toulouse | Frankfurt | €10.0M | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Toulouse B | Toulouse | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Toulouse U19 | Toulouse B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | FC Lyon Yth. | Toulouse U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.