Arthur Atta
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Arthur Atta's performance-implied value at EUR 4.4M-18.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 18.6M-34.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 14.0M-37.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.55x the positional average in the league (2563 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 33
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 62.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €26.5M vs market €25.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2563 (75% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.32
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.34
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 62 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1442
- Opponent strength
- 1501
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €14.0M – €37.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 39 pts; relative output up 207% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +42% (IQR -25% to +61%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CM | 32 | 2563 | 75% | 5 | 4 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 1501 | 1442 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CM | 27 | 1245 | 36% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1506 | 1389 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | DM | 21 | 917 | 30% | 1 | 2 | 0.29 | 0.33 | 1464 | 1284 | 0.87 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 2 | 158 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 2 | 105 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riccardo Saponara Serie A · 2016 | 25 | €15.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Youri Tielemans Ligue 1 · 2019 | 22 | €38.0M | €55.0M | rose |
| Nahuel Molina Serie A · 2022 | 24 | €20.0M | €28.0M | rose |
| Tommaso Pobega Serie A · 2022 | 23 | €16.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Oihan Sancet Laliga · 2023 | 23 | €30.0M | €60.0M | rose |
| Lazar Samardžić Serie A · 2024 | 22 | €20.0M | €16.0M | fell |
| Rocco Reitz Bundesliga · 2024 | 22 | €10.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Marcelo Brozović Serie A · 2016 | 24 | €18.0M | €27.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | FC Metz | Udinese | €8.0M | €8.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Udinese | FC Metz | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 30 Aug 2024 | FC Metz | Udinese | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 25 Jan 2023 | FC Metz B | FC Metz | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | FC Metz U19 | FC Metz B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Metz U17 | FC Metz U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Rennes U17 | Metz U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Rennes Jugend | Rennes U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.