Yvan Dibango
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yvan Dibango's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-1.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-2.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 81
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 24.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €784k vs market €1.3M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1302 (48% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.21
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 25 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1219
- Opponent strength
- 1180
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €558k – €2.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -10% (IQR -41% to +33%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1302 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | LB | 19 | 1302 | 48% | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 1180 | 1219 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | LB | 19 | 1447 | 54% | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 1205 | 1237 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | LB | 30 | 2670 | 99% | 1 | 7 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 1265 | 1294 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | LB | 23 | 1889 | 70% | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 1275 | 1236 | 0.38 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1527 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1586 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slobodan Rubežić Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 24 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Fatih Aksoy Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €2.0M | €3.2M | rose |
| Alexandros Katranis Super Lig · 2021 | 23 | €1.6M | €800k | fell |
| Marko Mihojevic Super Lig · 2021 | 25 | €1.6M | €200k | fell |
| Ramazan Civelek Super Lig · 2021 | 25 | €800k | €850k | flat |
| Robbie Deas Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 24 | €650k | €500k | fell |
| Bradley Mazikou Super League 1 · 2023 | 27 | €1.2M | €1.5M | rose |
| Corrie Ndaba Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 25 | €350k | €900k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Kryvbas | LASK | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 28 Feb 2024 | FCI Levadia | Kryvbas | €500k | €800k |
| 27 Feb 2024 | Kryvbas | FCI Levadia | Free / loan | €800k |
| 9 Sept 2022 | FCI Levadia | Kryvbas | Free / loan | €300k |
| 16 Aug 2022 | Isloch | FCI Levadia | Unknown | €300k |
| 31 Mar 2021 | Dragon Club | Isloch | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.