Guillermo Balzi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Guillermo Balzi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-2.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-2.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.45x the positional average in the league (1258 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Around 18 months left: some discount usually possible.
Bargain Index: 95
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 27.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €578k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1258 (54% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.57
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.58
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 28 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1260
- Opponent strength
- 1230
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €544k – €2.1M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+133 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +33% (IQR -2% to +53%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1258 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | APO Levadiakos Football Club | Super League 1 | AM | 21 | 1258 | 54% | 3 | 5 | 0.57 | 0.58 | 1230 | 1260 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | APO Levadiakos Football Club | Super League 1 | AM | 19 | 1512 | 65% | 2 | 2 | 0.24 | 0.46 | 1271 | 1128 | 0.35 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | APO Levadiakos Football Club | 7 | 388 | 3 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | APO Levadiakos Football Club | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casper Nielsen Superliga · 2019 | 25 | €600k | €900k | rose |
| Cammy Devlin Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 25 | €750k | €1.0M | rose |
| Paul McGowan Scottish Premiership · 2013 | 26 | €850k | €550k | fell |
| Mikael Anderson Superliga · 2023 | 25 | €1.0M | €1.7M | rose |
| Bruno Chalkiadakis Super League 1 · 2018 | 25 | €600k | €250k | fell |
| Connor Ronan Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 24 | €750k | €1.0M | rose |
| Marko Jevtovic Super Lig · 2020 | 27 | €1.1M | €1.8M | rose |
| Facundo Bertoglio Super League 1 · 2016 | 26 | €800k | €900k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Levadiakos | Newell's | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 6 Jul 2024 | Newell's | Levadiakos | Free / loan | €175k |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Newell's II | Newell's | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2021 | Newell's U20 | Newell's II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.