Redouane Halhal
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Redouane Halhal's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-3.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.5M-7.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.8M-10.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 91
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 39.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €3.3M vs market €5.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2039 (76% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 40 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1370
- Opponent strength
- 1365
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.8M – €10.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +22% (IQR +0% to +106%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 24 | 2039 | 76% | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 1365 | 1370 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | KV Mechelen | 9 | 810 | 0 | 0 | 1470 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Morocco | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Gaspar Liga Portugal · 2017 | 24 | €3.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Yuri Ribeiro Liga Portugal · 2018 | 21 | €3.0M | €2.4M | fell |
| Tomás Ribeiro Liga Portugal · 2024 | 25 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Patrick van Aanholt Eredivisie · 2014 | 24 | €3.5M | €4.5M | rose |
| Youssouf Sabaly Ligue 1 · 2016 | 23 | €2.5M | €7.0M | rose |
| Raphaël Guerreiro Ligue 1 · 2016 | 23 | €9.0M | €18.0M | rose |
| Rúben Liga Portugal · 2014 | 24 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Alexandre Penetra Liga Portugal · 2023 | 22 | €4.0M | €9.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2025 | Helmond Sport | KV Mechelen | Free / loan | €350k |
| 16 Aug 2024 | KV Mechelen | Helmond Sport | Free / loan | €100k |
| 15 Aug 2024 | Atl. Madrileño | KV Mechelen | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jan 2024 | Without Club | Atl. Madrileño | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Montpellier B | Without Club | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Montpellier U19 | Montpellier B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Montpellier U17 | Montpellier U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Montpellier For | Montpellier U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.