Tochukwu Nnadi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tochukwu Nnadi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.2M-7.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.2M-8.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.05x the positional average in the league (1771 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 24
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 22.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €5.1M vs market €4.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1771 (58% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 22 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1283
- Opponent strength
- 1387
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.2M – €8.8M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -41% (IQR -47% to +5%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1771 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 18 | 1418 | 53% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.13 | 1387 | 1228 | 0.65 |
| 2025/26 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | DM | 8 | 353 | 12% | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.14 | 1393 | 1504 | 0.88 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Causic Super Lig · 2015 | 23 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Enzo Le Fée Ligue 1 · 2021 | 21 | €5.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Sérgio Oliveira Liga Portugal · 2015 | 23 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Lamine Fomba Ligue 1 · 2021 | 23 | €3.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Sebastian Szymanski Premier Liga · 2020 | 21 | €5.4M | €14.0M | rose |
| Aleix García Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 23 | €3.2M | €2.5M | fell |
| Paulinho Liga Portugal · 2019 | 25 | €3.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Miha Zajc Serie A · 2019 | 25 | €5.5M | €3.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2026 | Zulte Waregem | Marseille | €6.0M | €2.0M |
| 19 Jan 2024 | Botev Plovdiv | Zulte Waregem | €1.4M | €900k |
| 1 Feb 2022 | Botev II | Botev Plovdiv | Unknown | €10k |
| 11 Aug 2021 | Madenat FC | Botev II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.