Dmytro Ledviy
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dmytro Ledviy's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 12.2th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €325k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 10% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 285 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 450 (17% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 12 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1242
- Opponent strength
- 1156
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- 10%
- Resale range (24m)
- €261k – €858k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 67 pts; changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +10% (IQR +0% to +31%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 450 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | LNZ Cherkasy | Premier Liga | GK | 5 | 450 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1156 | 1242 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | GK | 25 | 2250 | 83% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1198 | 1199 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | GK | 27 | 2430 | 90% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1259 | 1265 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | GK | 3 | 270 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1193 | 1218 | 0.38 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danylo Kucher Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Georgios Athanasiadis Super League 1 · 2019 | 26 | €500k | €600k | rose |
| Nikolaos Giannakopoulos Super League 1 · 2019 | 26 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Hans Christian Bernat Superliga · 2023 | 23 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Oliver Christensen Superliga · 2022 | 23 | €1.5M | €3.0M | rose |
| Nikolaos Papadopoulos Super League 1 · 2016 | 26 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Okan Kocuk Super Lig · 2020 | 25 | €650k | €1.1M | rose |
| Devis Epassy Super League 1 · 2019 | 26 | €250k | €300k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2025 | Rukh Lviv | LNZ Cherkasy | €400k | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Rukh Lviv U19 | Rukh Lviv | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 20 Sept 2020 | Karpaty U17 | Rukh Lviv U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.