Valentín Gómez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Valentín Gómez's performance-implied value at EUR 4.4M-14.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 8.8M-18.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 7.2M-27.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 62
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 73.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €12.9M vs market €12.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +20% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1875 (55% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.05
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 74 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1549
- Opponent strength
- 1472
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €7.2M – €27.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +62% (IQR +17% to +87%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Real Betis Balompié | Laliga | CB | 28 | 1875 | 55% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 1472 | 1549 | 0.95 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Real Betis Balompié | 9 | 666 | 0 | 0 | 1489 |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Real Betis Balompié | 4 | 315 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Telles Serie A · 2016 | 24 | €8.5M | €25.0M | rose |
| Kevin Akpoguma Bundesliga · 2018 | 23 | €8.0M | €4.8M | fell |
| Odilon Kossounou Bundesliga · 2023 | 22 | €18.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Mattia De Sciglio Serie A · 2017 | 25 | €8.5M | €14.0M | rose |
| Juan Miranda Laliga · 2024 | 24 | €9.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Davide Calabria Serie A · 2020 | 24 | €9.5M | €25.0M | rose |
| Wesley Hoedt Serie A · 2017 | 23 | €7.5M | €12.0M | rose |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw Bundesliga · 2023 | 24 | €8.5M | €6.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2025 | Vélez Sarsfield | Real Betis | €5.3M | €10.0M |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Vélez II | Vélez Sarsfield | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.