Terry Yegbe
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Terry Yegbe's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-2.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-3.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.5M-3.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 43
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 45.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.5M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1966 (64% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.05
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 46 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1225
- Opponent strength
- 1488
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.5M – €3.8M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +10% (IQR -23% to +87%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | CB | 24 | 1966 | 64% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 1488 | 1225 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Idrottsföreningen Elfsborg | 8 | 750 | 0 | 0 | 1467 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Idrottsföreningen Elfsborg | 8 | 648 | 0 | 0 | 1529 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matej Maglica Bundesliga · 2024 | 26 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Kevin Van Den Kerkhof Ligue 1 · 2024 | 28 | €3.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Fali Candé Ligue 1 · 2024 | 26 | €2.5M | €3.0M | rose |
| Jean-Charles Castelletto Ligue 1 · 2020 | 25 | €2.4M | €4.0M | rose |
| Ricardo Mangas Ligue 1 · 2022 | 24 | €1.5M | €4.0M | rose |
| Maximiliano Caufriez Ligue 1 · 2024 | 27 | €2.5M | €900k | fell |
| Clément Vidal Ligue 1 · 2023 | 23 | €1.8M | €1.5M | flat |
| Luca Ranieri Serie A · 2022 | 23 | €2.5M | €8.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Elfsborg | FC Metz | €2.6M | €2.5M |
| 1 Feb 2024 | SJK Seinäjoki | Elfsborg | €950k | €400k |
| 1 Jun 2023 | Vision FC | SJK Seinäjoki | Unknown | €50k |
| 31 May 2023 | SJK Seinäjoki | Vision FC | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jan 2023 | SJK II | SJK Seinäjoki | Unknown | €25k |
| 23 Mar 2022 | Vision FC | SJK II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.