Martial Godo
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Martial Godo's performance-implied value at EUR 4.9M-26.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 17.1M-32.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 11.2M-37.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.27x the positional average in the league (1587 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 22
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 76.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €25.3M vs market €22.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1587 (52% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.68
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.52
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 76 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1502
- Opponent strength
- 1454
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €11.2M – €37.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -33% to +165%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1587 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | Ligue 1 | LW | 28 | 1587 | 52% | 10 | 2 | 0.68 | 0.52 | 1454 | 1502 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Fulham FC | Premier League | LW | 2 | 21 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 1386 | 1555 | 1.23 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Fulham FC | 2 | 99 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Barcola Ligue 1 · 2023 | 21 | €18.0M | €70.0M | rose |
| Felipe Anderson Serie A · 2015 | 22 | €20.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Patrick Cutrone Serie A · 2018 | 20 | €23.0M | €15.5M | fell |
| Serge Gnabry Bundesliga · 2017 | 22 | €15.0M | €60.0M | rose |
| Davie Selke Bundesliga · 2018 | 23 | €12.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Jean-Kévin Augustin Bundesliga · 2018 | 21 | €20.0M | €9.5M | fell |
| Giacomo Raspadori Serie A · 2021 | 21 | €15.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Abde Ezzalzouli Laliga · 2023 | 22 | €15.0M | €12.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2025 | Fulham | R. Strasbourg | €7.0M | €600k |
| 1 Jan 2025 | Fulham U21 | Fulham | Unknown | €600k |
| 31 May 2024 | Wigan | Fulham U21 | Free / loan | €450k |
| 1 Sept 2023 | Fulham U21 | Wigan | Free / loan | €100k |
| 11 Mar 2022 | Margate | Fulham U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Dartford FC U19 | Margate | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.