Amin Chiakha
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Amin Chiakha's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-2.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.5M-7.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.99x the positional average in the league (976 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract ends within 6 months: can sign a pre-contract; small or no fee.
Bargain Index: 100
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 2.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €393k vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +29% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 20% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 976 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.18
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.50
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 2 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 14)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1098
- Opponent strength
- 1274
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 20%
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.5M – €7.8M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -14% (IQR -50% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 976 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 6 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 78%–121%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Vejle Boldklub | Superliga | ST | 14 | 976 | 49% | 2 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.50 | 1274 | 1098 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | ST | 11 | 186 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1235 | 1399 | 0.38 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Vejle Boldklub | 2 | 123 | 4 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 121 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1273 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgar Sevikyan Premier Liga · 2024 | 23 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Bertuğ Yıldırım Super Lig · 2023 | 21 | €2.7M | €2.0M | fell |
| Erencan Yardımcı Super Lig · 2024 | 22 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Yoann Cathline Eredivisie · 2024 | 22 | €2.0M | €6.0M | rose |
| Oliver Antman Superliga · 2022 | 21 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Benjamin Nygren Eredivisie · 2021 | 20 | €2.0M | €700k | fell |
| Dimitrios Pinakas Super League 1 · 2021 | 20 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Ilya Ishkov Premier Liga · 2024 | 19 | €800k | €800k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | Copenhagen | Rosenborg BK | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 29 Jan 2026 | Vejle BK | Copenhagen | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 6 Aug 2025 | Copenhagen | Vejle BK | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 15 Jul 2024 | Copenhagen U19 | Copenhagen | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 2 Mar 2023 | FCK Youth | Copenhagen U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Sundby BK | FCK Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.