Benjamin Nygren

25 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also CM, RW, SS, ST) · Sweden
Celtic FC · Scottish Premiership · Foot: left · Height: 187 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€14.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€8.8M – €17.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.4M – €13.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€6.4M – €19.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€15.3M – €5.0M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€8.8M – €17.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.4M – €13.8M
Projected value (24 months)€6.4M – €19.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€14.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Benjamin Nygren's performance-implied value at EUR 2.4M-13.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 8.8M-17.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.4M-19.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.15x the positional average in the league (2139 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 37

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average67.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €12.3M vs market €14.0M
Expected appreciationLow-21% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.31
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €14.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2139 (72% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.84
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.46
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
67 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.31 (rank 26)
Team strength (Elo)
1406
Opponent strength
1199
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€6.4M – €19.0M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+65 Elo); league level down (-43 Elo); role change RW -> AM; relative output up 29% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -46% to +41%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
10 (MID)
Relative output kept
77%–107%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
80%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Celtic FCScottish PremiershipAM33213972%1550.840.46119914060.31
2024/25FC NordsjaellandSuperligaRW20165684%930.650.38129513410.38
2023/24FC NordsjaellandSuperligaSS1556128%310.640.60126914440.48
2022/23FC NordsjaellandSuperligaRW1527314%210.990.52128613520.47
2021/22SC HeerenveenEredivisieRW1746515%010.190.40134412870.60
2021/22FC NordsjaellandSuperligaST429915%000.000.53131512310.45
2020/21SC HeerenveenEredivisieRW28127642%430.490.45136612710.56
2020/21KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueSS3823%000.000.40131214140.55
2019/20KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM21195%100.760.18136514290.63

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueCeltic FC10616411492
2025/26Scottish Fa CupCeltic FC431810—
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingCeltic FC2197001435
2025/26World CupSweden312400—
2024/25Oddset PokalenFC Nordsjaelland219610—
2023/24Oddset PokalenFC Nordsjaelland322610—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Nordsjaelland4223001451
2022/23Oddset PokalenFC Nordsjaelland643232—
2021/22Knvb BekerSC Heerenveen28000—
2020/21Knvb BekerSC Heerenveen416232—
2019/20Volkswagen SupercupKRC Genk127001301

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Ozan Tufan
Super Lig · 2021
26€11.0M€3.2Mfell
İrfan Can Kahveci
Super Lig · 2020
25€7.0M€8.5Mrose
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
Premier Liga · 2024
27€5.0M€3.0Mfell
Evander
Superliga · 2022
24€7.0M€8.0Mflat
Mady Camara
Super League 1 · 2021
24€15.0M€10.0Mfell
Alexandru Cicâldău
Super Lig · 2022
25€7.5M€3.0Mfell
Sven Mijnans
Eredivisie · 2024
24€6.5M€15.0Mrose
In-beom Hwang
Super League 1 · 2023
27€4.5M€10.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025NordsjaellandCeltic€1.5M€6.0M
30 Jan 2022GenkNordsjaelland€600k€1.2M
29 Jan 2022HeerenveenGenkFree / loan€1.2M
6 Oct 2020GenkHeerenveenFree / loan€2.7M
1 Jul 2019IFK GöteborgGenk€3.7M€3.7M
8 Jun 2018IFK U19IFK GöteborgUnknownData unavailable
1 Aug 2017IFK U17IFK U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.