Gleiker Mendoza
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Gleiker Mendoza's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-4.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.4M-5.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.70x the positional average in the league (2117 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 81
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 32.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.2M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -0% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2117 (78% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.94
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.69
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 33 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1219
- Opponent strength
- 1155
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.4M – €5.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -54% to +27%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 94%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | LW | 26 | 2117 | 78% | 11 | 11 | 0.94 | 0.69 | 1155 | 1219 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | LW | 5 | 154 | 6% | 1 | 0 | 0.58 | 0.54 | 1314 | 1237 | 0.28 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | 2 | 170 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Kvasnytsya Premier Liga · 2024 | 21 | €2.5M | €800k | fell |
| Umut Bozok Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €5.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Theo Bair Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 25 | €1.0M | €1.5M | rose |
| Élie Youan Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 24 | €1.0M | €1.5M | rose |
| Lazaros Lamprou Super League 1 · 2022 | 25 | €1.0M | €750k | fell |
| Andriy Shtogrin Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €700k | €700k | flat |
| Allan Sousa Superliga · 2021 | 24 | €1.5M | €1.8M | rose |
| Nazariy Rusyn Premier Liga · 2023 | 25 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Kryvbas | Shakhtar D. | €3.0M | €3.0M |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Angostura FC | Kryvbas | €500k | €1.2M |
| 31 Dec 2025 | Kryvbas | Angostura FC | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 4 Feb 2025 | Angostura FC | Kryvbas | Free / loan | €450k |
| 31 Dec 2024 | Táchira | Angostura FC | Free / loan | €450k |
| 1 Jan 2024 | Angostura FC | Táchira | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jan 2023 | Angostura U20 | Angostura FC | Unknown | €10k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.