Dimitrios Chatsidis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dimitrios Chatsidis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-3.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-3.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-9.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.98x the positional average in the league (644 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 33.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very unfavorable | est. €1.9M vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +169% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 61% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 644 (28% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.84
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.39
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 33 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1461
- Opponent strength
- 1209
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 61%
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.0M – €9.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +18% (IQR -21% to +130%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 644 league minutes last season.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | RW | 10 | 644 | 28% | 3 | 3 | 0.84 | 0.39 | 1209 | 1461 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 6 | 175 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 97 | 0 | 0 | 1533 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 1348 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Poku Eredivisie · 2024 | 20 | €1.3M | €25.0M | rose |
| Peglow Premier Liga · 2023 | 21 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Giannis Mystakidis Super League 1 · 2017 | 23 | €1.3M | €550k | fell |
| Gyrano Kerk Eredivisie · 2017 | 22 | €1.0M | €3.5M | rose |
| Frank Acheampong Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 21 | €2.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Tony Watt Scottish Premiership · 2013 | 20 | €1.3M | €1.5M | rose |
| Yusuf Sarı Super Lig · 2020 | 22 | €1.3M | €1.5M | flat |
| Mayckel Lahdo Eredivisie · 2024 | 22 | €3.0M | €2.7M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | PAOK Saloniki B | PAOK | Unknown | €75k |
| 1 Jan 2025 | PAOK U19 | PAOK Saloniki B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2023 | PAOK U17 | PAOK U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.