Joseph Opoku
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Joseph Opoku's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.3M-6.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.4M-12.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.38x the positional average in the league (2033 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 92
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 23.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €3.1M vs market €4.5M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +15% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 25% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2033 (75% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.44
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.56
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 23 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1228
- Opponent strength
- 1374
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 25%
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.4M – €12.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +100% (IQR +11% to +151%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 78 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–126%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 27 | 2033 | 75% | 5 | 5 | 0.44 | 0.56 | 1374 | 1228 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play Offs | Zulte Waregem | 6 | 426 | 5 | 1 | 1282 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Gouveia Liga Portugal · 2023 | 22 | €3.5M | €4.0M | flat |
| Mohamed Belloumi Liga Portugal · 2024 | 22 | €4.0M | €4.0M | flat |
| Hassane Bandé Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 20 | €7.5M | €2.7M | fell |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen Eredivisie · 2022 | 22 | €6.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Gabriel Silva Liga Portugal · 2023 | 21 | €2.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Leandro Trossard Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 22 | €2.0M | €7.0M | rose |
| Jens Odgaard Eredivisie · 2022 | 23 | €2.0M | €4.5M | rose |
| Bruno Tabata Liga Portugal · 2020 | 23 | €2.0M | €4.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2024 | Gr. Corinthians | Zulte Waregem | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.