Christian Kofane
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Christian Kofane's performance-implied value at EUR 6.1M-37.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 30.6M-58.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 26.9M-75.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.81x the positional average in the league (1235 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 28
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 74.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 19.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €50.8M vs market €40.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 15% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1235 (40% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.73
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.41
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 75 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1626
- Opponent strength
- 1482
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 15%
- Resale range (24m)
- €26.9M – €75.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +25% (IQR -5% to +65%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1235 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | ST | 29 | 1235 | 40% | 5 | 5 | 0.73 | 0.41 | 1482 | 1626 | 0.94 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 11 | 600 | 1 | 2 | 1737 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 148 | 1 | 2 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Leão Serie A · 2020 | 21 | €20.0M | €70.0M | rose |
| Adam Hlozek Bundesliga · 2023 | 21 | €18.0M | €18.0M | flat |
| Ilias Akhomach Laliga · 2024 | 20 | €15.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Bradley Barcola Ligue 1 · 2024 | 22 | €50.0M | €70.0M | rose |
| Benjamin Sesko Bundesliga · 2024 | 21 | €50.0M | €75.0M | rose |
| Mario Balotelli Serie A · 2013 | 23 | €30.0M | €11.0M | fell |
| Karim Adeyemi Bundesliga · 2023 | 21 | €40.0M | €45.0M | flat |
| Moussa Diaby Bundesliga · 2020 | 21 | €27.0M | €60.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2025 | Albacete | Leverkusen | €5.3M | €5.0M |
| 9 Jan 2025 | Albacete U19 | Albacete | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Nov 2024 | AS Nylon | Albacete U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.