Prince Amoako Junior
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Prince Amoako Junior's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-4.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.9M-16.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.3M-19.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.04x the positional average in the league (1672 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 29
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 18.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 19.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very unfavorable | est. €11.2M vs market €7.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +34% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 43% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1672 (84% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.54
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.42
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 19 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1315
- Opponent strength
- 1252
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 43%
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.3M – €19.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +180% (IQR +100% to +281%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1672 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 78%–121%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | LW | 21 | 1672 | 84% | 6 | 4 | 0.54 | 0.42 | 1252 | 1314 | 0.47 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 4 | 224 | 1 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Nuamah Superliga · 2023 | 20 | €6.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Mikkel Damsgaard Superliga · 2020 | 20 | €4.5M | €15.0M | rose |
| Nikita Saltykov Premier Liga · 2024 | 20 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Milot Rashica Eredivisie · 2017 | 21 | €3.5M | €20.0M | rose |
| Edmílson Junior Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 22 | €3.0M | €7.0M | rose |
| Loïs Openda Eredivisie · 2022 | 22 | €7.5M | €60.0M | rose |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen Eredivisie · 2021 | 21 | €3.5M | €11.0M | rose |
| Gil Dias Liga Portugal · 2017 | 21 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2025 | Right to Dream | Nordsjaelland | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.