Loïs Openda

26 yrs · Striker · Belgium
Juventus FC · Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 177 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€25.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€17.1M – €32.5M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€6.3M – €24.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€8.1M – €22.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€26.1M – €7.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€17.1M – €32.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€6.3M – €24.5M
Projected value (24 months)€8.1M – €22.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Loïs Openda's performance-implied value at EUR 6.3M-24.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 17.1M-32.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 8.1M-22.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.63x the positional average in the league (702 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceHigh79.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.4 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €23.7M vs market €25.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-46% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €60.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
702 (21% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.13
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.30
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
79 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1611
Opponent strength
1509
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€8.1M – €22.5M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 60 pts; changed club; team strength up (+78 Elo); relative output down 22% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -11% (IQR -37% to +7%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 702 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Juventus FCSerie AST2465219%100.140.30150916140.93
2025/26RB LeipzigBundesligaST2502%000.000.64172415680.94
2024/25RB LeipzigBundesligaST33246481%990.660.43150515330.94
2023/24RB LeipzigBundesligaST34271689%2471.030.56150016921.01
2022/23RC LensLigue 1ST38253274%2140.890.61144316260.82
2021/22Vitesse ArnhemEredivisieST33266187%1820.680.58134213790.60
2020/21Vitesse ArnhemEredivisieST33243880%1040.520.43137113940.56
2019/20Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueST1538415%000.000.24136515780.63
2018/19Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueST142419%110.750.37134415460.65

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueJuventus FC8320101555
2025/26Dfb PokalRB Leipzig18600—
2025/26Italy CupJuventus FC22500—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueRB Leipzig8682121653
2024/25Dfb PokalRB Leipzig436030—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueRB Leipzig8558401707
2023/24Dfb PokalRB Leipzig211100—
2023/24Franz Beckenbauer SupercupRB Leipzig164001817
2021/22Uefa Conference League QualifyingVitesse Arnhem2174101392
2021/22Knvb BekerVitesse Arnhem217211—
2020/21Knvb BekerVitesse Arnhem536931—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV4137001532
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingClub Brugge KV3128121541
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV5108001737
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueClub Brugge KV232001679

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Matteo Politano
Serie A · 2020
27€22.5M€20.0Mflat
Mariano Díaz
Laliga · 2019
26€20.0M€10.0Mfell
Andrea Petagna
Serie A · 2021
26€15.0M€10.0Mfell
Hirving Lozano
Serie A · 2020
25€28.0M€30.0Mflat
Samuel Chukwueze
Serie A · 2024
25€20.0M€18.0Mflat
Patrik Schick
Bundesliga · 2023
27€25.0M€27.0Mflat
Ciro Immobile
Bundesliga · 2015
25€12.0M€20.0Mrose
Federico Chiesa
Serie A · 2022
25€65.0M€35.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026LeipzigJuventus€42.8M€25.0M
30 Jun 2026JuventusLeipzigFree / loan€25.0M
1 Sept 2025LeipzigJuventusFree / loan€50.0M
14 Jul 2023LensLeipzig€40.0M€35.0M
6 Jul 2022Club BruggeLens€15.4M€7.5M
30 Jun 2022VitesseClub BruggeFree / loan€7.5M
21 Jul 2020Club BruggeVitesseFree / loan€4.0M
1 Jul 2018FC Brügge U21Club BruggeUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Club Bruges U19FC Brügge U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2016Club Brugge YthClub Bruges U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Standard YthClub Brugge Yth€190kData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Lüttich JugendStandard YthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.