Milot Rashica
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Milot Rashica's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-2.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-2.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.84x the positional average in the league (975 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 32
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 42.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.2M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -57% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 975 (32% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.37
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.33
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 43 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1350
- Opponent strength
- 1249
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €893k – €2.7M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 32 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -69% to -46%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ⚠Limited sample: 975 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | RW | 25 | 975 | 32% | 1 | 3 | 0.37 | 0.33 | 1249 | 1350 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | RW | 28 | 2055 | 63% | 3 | 8 | 0.48 | 0.42 | 1284 | 1340 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | RW | 29 | 2037 | 60% | 5 | 5 | 0.44 | 0.36 | 1280 | 1336 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | RW | 26 | 1702 | 53% | 4 | 7 | 0.58 | 0.42 | 1289 | 1535 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Norwich City | Premier League | LW | 31 | 2239 | 65% | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.38 | 1580 | 1275 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | SV Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | SS | 24 | 1463 | 48% | 3 | 5 | 0.49 | 0.62 | 1566 | 1384 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | SV Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | LW | 28 | 2277 | 74% | 8 | 7 | 0.59 | 0.58 | 1538 | 1428 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | SV Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | LW | 26 | 1556 | 51% | 9 | 5 | 0.81 | 0.58 | 1510 | 1564 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | RW | 19 | 1607 | 53% | 3 | 3 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 1337 | 1364 | 0.59 |
| 2017/18 | SV Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | RW | 9 | 385 | 13% | 1 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.42 | 1515 | 1510 | 1.04 |
| 2016/17 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | RW | 33 | 2542 | 83% | 2 | 12 | 0.50 | 0.47 | 1358 | 1358 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | RW | 31 | 2367 | 77% | 8 | 5 | 0.49 | 0.43 | 1307 | 1370 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 2 | 174 | 1 | 0 | 1292 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 1 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1414 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 6 | 369 | 2 | 1 | 1522 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 2 | 148 | 0 | 1 | 1377 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 2 | 101 | 0 | 1 | 1413 |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Norwich City | 3 | 188 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | SV Werder Bremen | 2 | 143 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 344 | 3 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 256 | 3 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Vitesse Arnhem | 6 | 451 | 0 | 2 | 1505 |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Vitesse Arnhem | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1536 |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | SV Werder Bremen | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 6 | 502 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Vitesse Arnhem | 2 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1555 |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emre Kılınç Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Nélson Oliveira Super League 1 · 2021 | 30 | €2.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Sofiane Feghouli Super Lig · 2021 | 32 | €3.0M | €500k | fell |
| Andraz Sporar Super League 1 · 2024 | 30 | €4.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Dimitrios Pelkas Super Lig · 2022 | 29 | €4.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Pione Sisto Superliga · 2023 | 28 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Mame Thiam Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €2.5M | €2.4M | flat |
| Khouma Babacar Super Lig · 2022 | 29 | €3.0M | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2023 | Norwich | Besiktas | €5.3M | €8.5M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Galatasaray | Norwich | Free / loan | €8.5M |
| 8 Sept 2022 | Norwich | Galatasaray | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Werder Bremen | Norwich | €11.0M | €9.0M |
| 31 Jan 2018 | Vitesse | Werder Bremen | €8.1M | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | FC Vushtrria | Vitesse | €300k | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | KF Kurda | FC Vushtrria | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.