Jhon Córdoba

33 yrs · Striker · Colombia
FK Krasnodar · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 186 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€10.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.0M – €9.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€4.9M – €10.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.6M – €5.4M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€4.1M – €7.3M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.0M – €9.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€4.9M – €10.3M
Projected value (24 months)€2.6M – €5.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Jhon Córdoba's performance-implied value at EUR 4.9M-10.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.0M-9.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.6M-5.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.05x the positional average in the league (2484 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceHigh84.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33.1 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €4.0M vs market €10.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-62% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.56
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €17.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2484 (92% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.83
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.53
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
85 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.56 (rank 10)
Team strength (Elo)
1536
Opponent strength
1332
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.6M – €5.4M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -58% (IQR -65% to -50%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
20 (ATT)
Relative output kept
76%–104%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
50%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FK KrasnodarPremier LigaST28248492%1760.830.53133215360.56
2024/25FK KrasnodarPremier LigaST25221282%1270.770.51129915110.55
2023/24FK KrasnodarPremier LigaST27241990%1560.780.58132614050.49
2022/23FK KrasnodarPremier LigaST23184768%1481.070.70130114050.53
2021/22FK KrasnodarPremier LigaST15100837%640.890.68136013710.52
2020/21Hertha BSCBundesligaST21154350%720.520.54151114461.06
2019/201.FC KölnBundesligaST29200465%1320.670.72154714071.06
2017/181.FC KölnBundesligaST1895231%020.190.38150013871.04
2016/171.FSV Mainz 05BundesligaST29235577%550.380.41149914501.06
2015/161.FSV Mainz 05BundesligaST22138845%520.450.46151315081.02
2014/15Granada CFLaligaST26141041%400.260.45156814421.18
2013/14RCD Espanyol BarcelonaLaligaST28136040%420.400.50152214771.19

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Russian CupFK Krasnodar1159254—
2025/26World CupColombia29200—
2025/26Russian Super CupFK Krasnodar190001478
2024/25Russian CupFK Krasnodar525910—
2023/24Russian CupFK Krasnodar520530—
2022/23Russian CupFK Krasnodar1184662—
2021/22Russian CupFK Krasnodar12100—
2019/20Dfb Pokal1.FC Köln215011—
2017/18Uefa Europa League1.FC Köln3236101593
2017/18Dfb Pokal1.FC Köln16410—
2016/17Uefa Europa League1.FSV Mainz 056396101455
2016/17Dfb Pokal1.FSV Mainz 0527320—
2014/15Copa Del ReyGranada CF215210—
2013/14Copa Del ReyRCD Espanyol Barcelona521900—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Artem Dzyuba
Premier Liga · 2021
33€11.0M€3.5Mfell
Mario Gómez
Super Lig · 2016
31€12.0M€6.0Mfell
Bryan Ruiz
Liga Portugal · 2016
31€6.0M€1.5Mfell
Bafétimbi Gomis
Super Lig · 2018
33€4.5M€3.5Mfell
Vincent Janssen
Jupiler Pro League · 2024
30€8.0M€4.0Mfell
Taison
Premier Liga · 2020
32€9.5M€4.0Mfell
Matheus
Premier Liga · 2014
31€3.5M€1.5Mfell
Edin Dzeko
Serie A · 2020
34€11.0M€4.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
23 Jul 2021Hertha BSCKrasnodar€20.0M€15.0M
15 Sept 20201.FC KölnHertha BSC€15.0M€12.0M
1 Jul 2017Mainz1.FC Köln€17.0M€7.0M
1 Jul 2016Granada CFMainz€6.5M€3.5M
30 Jun 2016MainzGranada CFFree / loan€3.5M
31 Aug 2015Granada CFMainzFree / loan€2.0M
12 Aug 2014Chiapas FCGranada CF€1.8M€1.0M
30 Jun 2014EspanyolChiapas FCFree / loan€1.0M
2 Sept 2013Chiapas FCEspanyolFree / loan€800k
9 Jul 2012EnvigadoJaguaresFree / loan€800k
1 Jan 2010Envigado U20EnvigadoUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.