
Jhon Córdoba
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jhon Córdoba's performance-implied value at EUR 4.9M-10.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.0M-9.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.6M-5.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.05x the positional average in the league (2484 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | High | 84.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €4.0M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -62% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2484 (92% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.83
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.53
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 85 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1536
- Opponent strength
- 1332
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.6M – €5.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -58% (IQR -65% to -50%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 50%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | ST | 28 | 2484 | 92% | 17 | 6 | 0.83 | 0.53 | 1332 | 1536 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | ST | 25 | 2212 | 82% | 12 | 7 | 0.77 | 0.51 | 1299 | 1511 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | ST | 27 | 2419 | 90% | 15 | 6 | 0.78 | 0.58 | 1326 | 1405 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | ST | 23 | 1847 | 68% | 14 | 8 | 1.07 | 0.70 | 1301 | 1405 | 0.53 |
| 2021/22 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | ST | 15 | 1008 | 37% | 6 | 4 | 0.89 | 0.68 | 1360 | 1371 | 0.52 |
| 2020/21 | Hertha BSC | Bundesliga | ST | 21 | 1543 | 50% | 7 | 2 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 1511 | 1446 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | 1.FC Köln | Bundesliga | ST | 29 | 2004 | 65% | 13 | 2 | 0.67 | 0.72 | 1547 | 1407 | 1.06 |
| 2017/18 | 1.FC Köln | Bundesliga | ST | 18 | 952 | 31% | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.38 | 1500 | 1387 | 1.04 |
| 2016/17 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | ST | 29 | 2355 | 77% | 5 | 5 | 0.38 | 0.41 | 1499 | 1450 | 1.06 |
| 2015/16 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | ST | 22 | 1388 | 45% | 5 | 2 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 1513 | 1508 | 1.02 |
| 2014/15 | Granada CF | Laliga | ST | 26 | 1410 | 41% | 4 | 0 | 0.26 | 0.45 | 1568 | 1442 | 1.18 |
| 2013/14 | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | Laliga | ST | 28 | 1360 | 40% | 4 | 2 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 1522 | 1477 | 1.19 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | FK Krasnodar | 11 | 592 | 5 | 4 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Colombia | 2 | 92 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Russian Super Cup | FK Krasnodar | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1478 |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | FK Krasnodar | 5 | 259 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | FK Krasnodar | 5 | 205 | 3 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | FK Krasnodar | 11 | 846 | 6 | 2 | — |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | FK Krasnodar | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Köln | 2 | 150 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | 1.FC Köln | 3 | 236 | 1 | 0 | 1593 |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Köln | 1 | 64 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 396 | 1 | 0 | 1455 |
| 2016/17 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2 | 73 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Copa Del Rey | Granada CF | 2 | 152 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | 5 | 219 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Dzyuba Premier Liga · 2021 | 33 | €11.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Mario Gómez Super Lig · 2016 | 31 | €12.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Bryan Ruiz Liga Portugal · 2016 | 31 | €6.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Bafétimbi Gomis Super Lig · 2018 | 33 | €4.5M | €3.5M | fell |
| Vincent Janssen Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 30 | €8.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Taison Premier Liga · 2020 | 32 | €9.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Matheus Premier Liga · 2014 | 31 | €3.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Edin Dzeko Serie A · 2020 | 34 | €11.0M | €4.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2021 | Hertha BSC | Krasnodar | €20.0M | €15.0M |
| 15 Sept 2020 | 1.FC Köln | Hertha BSC | €15.0M | €12.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Mainz | 1.FC Köln | €17.0M | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Granada CF | Mainz | €6.5M | €3.5M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Mainz | Granada CF | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 31 Aug 2015 | Granada CF | Mainz | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 12 Aug 2014 | Chiapas FC | Granada CF | €1.8M | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2014 | Espanyol | Chiapas FC | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 2 Sept 2013 | Chiapas FC | Espanyol | Free / loan | €800k |
| 9 Jul 2012 | Envigado | Jaguares | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jan 2010 | Envigado U20 | Envigado | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.