N'Golo Kanté

35 yrs · Defensive midfielder (also CM) · France
Fenerbahce · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 168 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€4.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€979k – €4.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€295k – €2.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.1M – €2.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.8M – €1.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€979k – €4.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€295k – €2.4M
Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €2.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates N'Golo Kanté's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-2.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-4.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-2.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.02x the positional average in the league (1144 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAbove average73.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable35.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €2.3M vs market €4.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-60% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €100M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1144 (37% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.16
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.13
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
74 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1477
Opponent strength
1265
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.1M – €2.8M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -76% (IQR -83% to -71%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1144 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
35 (MID)
Relative output kept
77%–144%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
69%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FenerbahceSuper LigDM14114437%200.160.13126514770.40
2022/23Chelsea FCPremier LeagueCM752015%010.170.17159715791.23
2021/22Chelsea FCPremier LeagueDM26177852%240.300.15157917371.17
2020/21Chelsea FCPremier LeagueDM30214563%020.080.07157717351.19
2019/20Chelsea FCPremier LeagueDM22173351%300.160.11158916531.14
2018/19Chelsea FCPremier LeagueCM36309590%440.230.17154417501.22
2017/18Chelsea FCPremier LeagueDM34299888%110.060.05153316671.15
2016/17Chelsea FCPremier LeagueDM35313992%110.060.05153917561.07
2015/16Leicester CityPremier LeagueCM37302088%140.150.15153216591.08
2014/15SM CaenLigue 1CM37318393%250.200.22143814090.80

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueFenerbahce2166001562
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueChelsea FC2165001804
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueChelsea FC6427011669
2021/22Fa CupChelsea FC38800—
2021/22Uefa Super CupChelsea FC165001689
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueChelsea FC13709011723
2020/21Fa CupChelsea FC427700—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueChelsea FC4360001642
2019/20Uefa Super CupChelsea FC1120001915
2019/20Fa CupChelsea FC19000—
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueChelsea FC10579001572
2018/19Fa CupChelsea FC29500—
2017/18Uefa Champions LeagueChelsea FC6498001745
2017/18Fa CupChelsea FC541101—
2017/18Community ShieldChelsea FC190001681
2016/17Fa CupChelsea FC529710—
2015/16Fa CupLeicester City14500—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Kris Commons
Scottish Premiership · 2016
33€3.0M€500kfell
Petros Mantalos
Super League 1 · 2024
33€1.8M€800kfell
Viktor Claesson
Superliga · 2024
32€4.5M€1.0Mfell
Scott Arfield
Scottish Premiership · 2023
35€1.0M€100kfell
Aleksandr Erokhin
Premier Liga · 2022
33€1.5M€400kfell
Stefan Schwab
Super League 1 · 2024
34€900k€300kfell
Kevin-Prince Boateng
Super Lig · 2020
33€3.2M€900kfell
Alex Teixeira
Super Lig · 2022
32€2.9M€500kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
2 Feb 2026Al-IttihadFenerbahçeFree / loan€4.5M
1 Jul 2023ChelseaAl-IttihadFree / loan€15.0M
16 Jul 2016LeicesterChelsea€35.8M€20.0M
3 Aug 2015SM CaenLeicester€9.0M€4.5M
1 Jul 2013US BoulogneSM CaenFree / loan€50k
1 Jul 2012Boulogne BUS BoulogneUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010SuresnesBoulogne BFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.