
N'Golo Kanté
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates N'Golo Kanté's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-2.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-4.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-2.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.02x the positional average in the league (1144 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Above average | 73.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 35.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €2.3M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -60% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1144 (37% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.16
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 74 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1477
- Opponent strength
- 1265
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.1M – €2.8M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -76% (IQR -83% to -71%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1144 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | DM | 14 | 1144 | 37% | 2 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 1265 | 1477 | 0.40 |
| 2022/23 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | CM | 7 | 520 | 15% | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 1597 | 1579 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | DM | 26 | 1778 | 52% | 2 | 4 | 0.30 | 0.15 | 1579 | 1737 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | DM | 30 | 2145 | 63% | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 1577 | 1735 | 1.19 |
| 2019/20 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | DM | 22 | 1733 | 51% | 3 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 1589 | 1653 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | CM | 36 | 3095 | 90% | 4 | 4 | 0.23 | 0.17 | 1544 | 1750 | 1.22 |
| 2017/18 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | DM | 34 | 2998 | 88% | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 1533 | 1667 | 1.15 |
| 2016/17 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | DM | 35 | 3139 | 92% | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 1539 | 1756 | 1.07 |
| 2015/16 | Leicester City | Premier League | CM | 37 | 3020 | 88% | 1 | 4 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 1532 | 1659 | 1.08 |
| 2014/15 | SM Caen | Ligue 1 | CM | 37 | 3183 | 93% | 2 | 5 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 1438 | 1409 | 0.80 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Fenerbahce | 2 | 166 | 0 | 0 | 1562 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Chelsea FC | 2 | 165 | 0 | 0 | 1804 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Chelsea FC | 6 | 427 | 0 | 1 | 1669 |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 3 | 88 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Super Cup | Chelsea FC | 1 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1689 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Chelsea FC | 13 | 709 | 0 | 1 | 1723 |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 4 | 277 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Chelsea FC | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1642 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Super Cup | Chelsea FC | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1915 |
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Chelsea FC | 10 | 579 | 0 | 0 | 1572 |
| 2018/19 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 2 | 95 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Chelsea FC | 6 | 498 | 0 | 0 | 1745 |
| 2017/18 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 5 | 411 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Community Shield | Chelsea FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1681 |
| 2016/17 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 5 | 297 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Fa Cup | Leicester City | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Commons Scottish Premiership · 2016 | 33 | €3.0M | €500k | fell |
| Petros Mantalos Super League 1 · 2024 | 33 | €1.8M | €800k | fell |
| Viktor Claesson Superliga · 2024 | 32 | €4.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Scott Arfield Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 35 | €1.0M | €100k | fell |
| Aleksandr Erokhin Premier Liga · 2022 | 33 | €1.5M | €400k | fell |
| Stefan Schwab Super League 1 · 2024 | 34 | €900k | €300k | fell |
| Kevin-Prince Boateng Super Lig · 2020 | 33 | €3.2M | €900k | fell |
| Alex Teixeira Super Lig · 2022 | 32 | €2.9M | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2026 | Al-Ittihad | Fenerbahçe | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Chelsea | Al-Ittihad | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 16 Jul 2016 | Leicester | Chelsea | €35.8M | €20.0M |
| 3 Aug 2015 | SM Caen | Leicester | €9.0M | €4.5M |
| 1 Jul 2013 | US Boulogne | SM Caen | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Boulogne B | US Boulogne | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Suresnes | Boulogne B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.