Jordan Torunarigha
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jordan Torunarigha's performance-implied value at EUR 1.7M-7.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.8M-4.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-3.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 10
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 69.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €3.0M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -49% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1965 (64% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 69 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1380
- Opponent strength
- 1474
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.2M – €3.3M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level up (+110 Elo); relative output down 58% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -12% (IQR -30% to +21%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Hamburger SV | Bundesliga | CB | 24 | 1965 | 64% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1474 | 1380 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 23 | 1855 | 69% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1397 | 1422 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 24 | 1843 | 68% | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 1385 | 1436 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 28 | 2173 | 71% | 3 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.15 | 1313 | 1451 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 8 | 672 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1324 | 1420 | 0.49 |
| 2021/22 | Hertha BSC | Bundesliga | CB | 7 | 483 | 16% | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.11 | 1480 | 1385 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Hertha BSC | Bundesliga | CB | 14 | 967 | 32% | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 1510 | 1446 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | Hertha BSC | Bundesliga | CB | 18 | 1461 | 48% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1550 | 1469 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | Hertha BSC | Bundesliga | CB | 14 | 1161 | 38% | 2 | 2 | 0.31 | 0.19 | 1487 | 1472 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | Hertha BSC | Bundesliga | CB | 12 | 662 | 22% | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 1543 | 1468 | 1.04 |
| 2016/17 | Hertha BSC | Bundesliga | CB | 8 | 482 | 16% | 1 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.11 | 1530 | 1455 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Hamburger SV | 3 | 256 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | KAA Gent | 3 | 233 | 0 | 0 | 1382 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | KAA Gent | 5 | 416 | 0 | 0 | 1440 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | KAA Gent | 2 | 170 | 0 | 0 | 1424 |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | Hertha BSC | 3 | 177 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | Hertha BSC | 2 | 100 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Hertha BSC | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1483 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niklas Stark Bundesliga · 2023 | 28 | €5.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Ardian Ismajli Serie A · 2024 | 28 | €3.0M | €5.0M | rose |
| Bram Nuytinck Serie A · 2020 | 30 | €2.8M | €3.5M | rose |
| Adama Soumaoro Serie A · 2022 | 30 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Bartosz Bereszyński Serie A · 2020 | 28 | €6.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Brendan Chardonnet Ligue 1 · 2023 | 29 | €5.0M | €6.0M | rose |
| Jean-Charles Castelletto Ligue 1 · 2023 | 28 | €3.5M | €3.5M | flat |
| Omar Colley Serie A · 2022 | 30 | €4.5M | €3.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | KAA Gent | Hamburg | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 19 Jul 2022 | Hertha BSC | KAA Gent | €3.0M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | KAA Gent | Hertha BSC | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 28 Jan 2022 | Hertha BSC | KAA Gent | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Hertha BSC II | Hertha BSC | Unknown | €125k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Hertha BSC U19 | Hertha BSC II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Hertha BSC U17 | Hertha BSC U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Hertha BSC Yth. | Hertha BSC U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Chemnitz Yth. | Hertha BSC Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.