Michele Di Gregorio
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Michele Di Gregorio's performance-implied value at EUR 9.0M-22.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.9M-12.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.3M-10.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 36
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 92.2th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €8.3M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -26% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2655 (78% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 92 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1614
- Opponent strength
- 1506
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.3M – €10.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -74% to -33%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Juventus FC | Serie A | GK | 30 | 2655 | 78% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1506 | 1614 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Juventus FC | Serie A | GK | 33 | 2970 | 87% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1497 | 1629 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | AC Monza | Serie A | GK | 33 | 2874 | 84% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1485 | 1428 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | AC Monza | Serie A | GK | 37 | 3330 | 97% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 1468 | 1453 | 0.94 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1626 |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 8 | 719 | 0 | 0 | 1647 |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Supercoppa Italiana | Juventus FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1641 |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | AC Monza | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emiliano Viviano Serie A · 2013 | 28 | €7.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Alex Meret Serie A · 2024 | 27 | €12.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Ivan Provedel Serie A · 2024 | 30 | €14.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Juan Musso Serie A · 2022 | 28 | €18.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Robin Olsen Serie A · 2019 | 29 | €7.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Simon Mignolet Premier League · 2017 | 29 | €12.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Neto Serie A · 2015 | 26 | €9.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Pau López Ligue 1 · 2023 | 29 | €14.0M | €2.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Monza | Juventus | €14.3M | €18.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Juventus | Monza | Free / loan | €18.0M |
| 5 Jul 2024 | Monza | Juventus | Free / loan | €18.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Inter | Monza | €6.0M | €3.8M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Monza | Inter | Free / loan | €3.8M |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Inter | Monza | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 31 Aug 2020 | Pordenone | Inter | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 10 Jul 2019 | Inter | Pordenone | Free / loan | €450k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Novara | Inter | Free / loan | €450k |
| 24 Aug 2018 | Inter | Novara | Free / loan | €600k |
| 8 Aug 2018 | Avellino | Inter | Free / loan | €600k |
| 4 Jul 2018 | Inter | Avellino | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Renate | Inter | Free / loan | €600k |
| 7 Jul 2017 | Inter U19 | Renate | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Inter U17 | Inter U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Inter Youth | Inter U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.