Brahim Díaz

The model rates Brahim Díaz's performance-implied value at EUR 19.7M-38.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 13.9M-35.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 15.0M-31.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.86x the positional average in the league (1252 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1252 (37% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.65

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.34

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

92 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.95 (rank 2)

Team strength (Elo)

1745

Opponent strength

1482

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€15.0M – €31.4M

Trajectory drivers: relative output up 62% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -14% (IQR -20% to +27%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1252 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.