Ferran Torres
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ferran Torres's performance-implied value at EUR 31.1M-93.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 23.2M-55.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 22.6M-56.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.73x the positional average in the league (1975 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 67
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 96th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €30.9M vs market €50.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -28% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1975 (58% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.82
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.37
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 96 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1787
- Opponent strength
- 1477
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €22.6M – €56.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 26 pts; role change LW -> ST; relative output down 45% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -52% (IQR -61% to +17%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | ST | 33 | 1975 | 58% | 16 | 2 | 0.82 | 0.37 | 1477 | 1787 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | LW | 27 | 1101 | 32% | 10 | 6 | 1.31 | 0.55 | 1503 | 1792 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | LW | 29 | 1204 | 35% | 7 | 3 | 0.75 | 0.39 | 1469 | 1723 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | LW | 33 | 1382 | 40% | 4 | 2 | 0.39 | 0.28 | 1489 | 1696 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | LW | 18 | 1418 | 41% | 4 | 4 | 0.51 | 0.33 | 1530 | 1686 | 1.05 |
| 2021/22 | Manchester City | Premier League | ST | 4 | 305 | 9% | 2 | 1 | 0.89 | 0.39 | 1571 | 1866 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Manchester City | Premier League | RW | 24 | 1307 | 38% | 7 | 2 | 0.62 | 0.28 | 1532 | 1883 | 1.19 |
| 2019/20 | Valencia CF | Laliga | RW | 34 | 2258 | 66% | 4 | 5 | 0.36 | 0.33 | 1556 | 1548 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | Valencia CF | Laliga | RW | 24 | 843 | 25% | 2 | 1 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 1518 | 1653 | 1.14 |
| 2017/18 | Valencia CF | Laliga | RW | 13 | 302 | 9% | 0 | 1 | 0.30 | 0.33 | 1513 | 1607 | 1.11 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 10 | 357 | 3 | 1 | 1695 |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 4 | 246 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Spain | 3 | 140 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 2 | 114 | 1 | 0 | 1558 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 11 | 419 | 3 | 1 | 1691 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 5 | 373 | 6 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1732 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 8 | 376 | 3 | 1 | 1585 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 3 | 292 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 2 | 122 | 0 | 0 | 1625 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 4 | 234 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 5 | 184 | 3 | 1 | 1641 |
| 2022/23 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 1 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 1616 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | FC Barcelona | 2 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1695 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | FC Barcelona | 6 | 477 | 2 | 2 | 1538 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 1 | 120 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Community Shield | Manchester City | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 1585 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1634 |
| 2021/22 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 1 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 1829 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 6 | 360 | 4 | 0 | 1573 |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 3 | 244 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Valencia CF | 6 | 480 | 2 | 2 | 1683 |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 3 | 278 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Supercopa | Valencia CF | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1749 |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 6 | 540 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Valencia CF | 4 | 260 | 0 | 0 | 1569 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Valencia CF | 3 | 105 | 0 | 0 | 1521 |
| 2017/18 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 3 | 56 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Costa Serie A · 2018 | 28 | €55.0M | €24.0M | fell |
| Kingsley Coman Bundesliga · 2023 | 27 | €65.0M | €30.0M | fell |
| Dani Olmo Bundesliga · 2024 | 26 | €50.0M | €60.0M | rose |
| Timo Werner Bundesliga · 2023 | 27 | €25.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Serge Gnabry Bundesliga · 2019 | 24 | €60.0M | €70.0M | flat |
| Yannick Carrasco Laliga · 2017 | 24 | €40.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Álvaro Morata Serie A · 2016 | 24 | €30.0M | €65.0M | rose |
| Darwin Núñez Premier League · 2024 | 25 | €70.0M | €20.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2022 | Man City | Barcelona | €55.0M | €45.0M |
| 4 Aug 2020 | Valencia | Man City | €33.5M | €45.0M |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Valencia B | Valencia | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Valencia U19 | Valencia B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Valencia U18 | Valencia U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Valencia CF You | Valencia U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.