
Davinson Sánchez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Davinson Sánchez's performance-implied value at EUR 4.6M-16.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 7.7M-15.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.2M-10.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 10
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 84.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €10.9M vs market €16.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -55% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2425 (79% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 85 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1501
- Opponent strength
- 1255
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.2M – €10.0M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 59% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -53% to -27%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | CB | 30 | 2425 | 79% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 1255 | 1501 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | CB | 31 | 2649 | 82% | 3 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.06 | 1282 | 1557 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | CB | 23 | 1588 | 46% | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.05 | 1299 | 1597 | 0.45 |
| 2023/24 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 1 | 76 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1623 | 1588 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 18 | 852 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1515 | 1606 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 23 | 1626 | 48% | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 1554 | 1659 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 18 | 1486 | 43% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1528 | 1647 | 1.19 |
| 2019/20 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 29 | 2431 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1617 | 1630 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 23 | 1943 | 57% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 1514 | 1732 | 1.22 |
| 2017/18 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 31 | 2535 | 74% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1518 | 1769 | 1.15 |
| 2016/17 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 32 | 2762 | 90% | 6 | 2 | 0.26 | 0.11 | 1340 | 1627 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Galatasaray | 11 | 1020 | 1 | 0 | 1628 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Colombia | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Galatasaray | 9 | 707 | 1 | 1 | 1484 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Galatasaray | 4 | 360 | 0 | 2 | 1702 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Galatasaray | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1503 |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1600 |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Tottenham Hotspur | 7 | 660 | 0 | 0 | 1556 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Tottenham Hotspur | 3 | 253 | 0 | 0 | 1384 |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 210 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1591 |
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 4 | 301 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 631 | 0 | 0 | 1689 |
| 2018/19 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 169 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 1723 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | 1567 |
| 2017/18 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 12 | 1110 | 0 | 0 | 1551 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1536 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Santos Premier Liga · 2022 | 28 | €16.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Rúben Semedo Super League 1 · 2021 | 27 | €8.0M | €3.2M | fell |
| Clinton Mata Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 30 | €8.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Omar Elabdellaoui Super League 1 · 2020 | 29 | €4.8M | €1.3M | fell |
| Simon Kjær Super Lig · 2017 | 28 | €11.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Min-jae Kim Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €14.0M | €45.0M | rose |
| Rodrigão Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €6.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Jack Hendry Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 27 | €5.0M | €3.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Sept 2023 | Tottenham | Galatasaray | €9.5M | €15.0M |
| 23 Aug 2017 | Ajax | Tottenham | €42.0M | €25.0M |
| 28 Jul 2016 | Atl. Nacional | Ajax | €5.5M | €550k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Nacional U20 | Atl. Nacional | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | CD América U20 | Nacional U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.