Odsonne Édouard
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Odsonne Édouard's performance-implied value at EUR 11.1M-32.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 7.8M-15.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.6M-10.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.04x the positional average in the league (1821 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 5
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 90.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €11.7M vs market €12.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -43% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1821 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.74
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.53
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 90 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1569
- Opponent strength
- 1459
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.6M – €10.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -44% to +41%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | ST | 29 | 1819 | 59% | 12 | 3 | 0.74 | 0.53 | 1459 | 1569 | 0.88 |
| 2025/26 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | ST | 1 | 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 1585 | 1589 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | ST | 2 | 116 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 1518 | 1620 | 1.23 |
| 2024/25 | Leicester City | Premier League | ST | 4 | 26 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.52 | 1505 | 1367 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | ST | 30 | 1555 | 45% | 7 | 0 | 0.41 | 0.45 | 1549 | 1562 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | ST | 35 | 1806 | 53% | 5 | 2 | 0.35 | 0.44 | 1562 | 1536 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | ST | 28 | 1566 | 46% | 6 | 3 | 0.52 | 0.62 | 1557 | 1537 | 1.17 |
| 2021/22 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 4 | 262 | 9% | 2 | 1 | 1.03 | 0.51 | 1337 | 1575 | 0.50 |
| 2020/21 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 26 | 2002 | 67% | 16 | 5 | 0.94 | 0.53 | 1271 | 1534 | 0.54 |
| 2019/20 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 27 | 2110 | 78% | 22 | 11 | 1.41 | 0.60 | 1268 | 1608 | 0.52 |
| 2018/19 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 28 | 1568 | 53% | 14 | 6 | 1.15 | 0.58 | 1304 | 1525 | 0.44 |
| 2017/18 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 19 | 912 | 31% | 6 | 2 | 0.79 | 0.32 | 1232 | 1570 | 0.47 |
| 2016/17 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | ST | 16 | 561 | 16% | 1 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.42 | 1444 | 1403 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Crystal Palace | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1252 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Crystal Palace | 2 | 77 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Crystal Palace | 1 | 65 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Celtic FC | 2 | 198 | 0 | 0 | 1440 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Celtic FC | 4 | 111 | 0 | 0 | 1456 |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Crystal Palace | 3 | 63 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Celtic FC | 4 | 278 | 2 | 0 | 1548 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Celtic FC | 2 | 161 | 1 | 0 | 1322 |
| 2020/21 | Scottish Fa Cup | Celtic FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Celtic FC | 1 | 73 | 1 | 0 | 1261 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Celtic FC | 6 | 534 | 3 | 2 | 1485 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Celtic FC | 5 | 438 | 2 | 2 | 1382 |
| 2019/20 | Scottish Fa Cup | Celtic FC | 4 | 347 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Celtic FC | 2 | 161 | 1 | 1 | 1374 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Celtic FC | 8 | 552 | 2 | 0 | 1587 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Celtic FC | 5 | 393 | 3 | 1 | 1408 |
| 2018/19 | Scottish Fa Cup | Celtic FC | 4 | 298 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Scottish Fa Cup | Celtic FC | 3 | 146 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Celtic FC | 2 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 1674 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Celtic FC | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1613 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Balotelli Ligue 1 · 2017 | 27 | €15.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Giuseppe Rossi Serie A · 2014 | 27 | €25.0M | €7.5M | fell |
| Diego Perotti Serie A · 2015 | 27 | €10.0M | €17.0M | rose |
| Wahbi Khazri Ligue 1 · 2018 | 27 | €10.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Luka Jović Serie A · 2023 | 26 | €8.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Jérémie Boga Ligue 1 · 2024 | 27 | €15.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Ayoze Pérez Laliga · 2023 | 30 | €6.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Cengiz Ünder Ligue 1 · 2022 | 25 | €22.0M | €14.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2025 | Crystal Palace | Lens | €3.7M | €8.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Leicester | Crystal Palace | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 30 Aug 2024 | Crystal Palace | Leicester | Free / loan | €18.0M |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Celtic | Crystal Palace | €16.3M | €17.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | PSG | Celtic | €10.3M | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Celtic | PSG | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 31 Aug 2017 | PSG | Celtic | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 4 Apr 2017 | Toulouse | PSG | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 8 Aug 2016 | PSG | Toulouse | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Paris SG U19 | PSG | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Paris SG U17 | Paris SG U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | PSG Youth | Paris SG U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.