Romano Schmid

26 yrs · Attacking midfielder · Austria
SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga · Foot: right · Height: 168 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€15.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€5.5M – €13.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€5.6M – €26.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€7.2M – €21.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€7.4M – €21.0M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€5.5M – €13.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€5.6M – €26.5M
Projected value (24 months)€7.2M – €21.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Romano Schmid's performance-implied value at EUR 5.6M-26.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.5M-13.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 7.2M-21.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.00x the positional average in the league (2993 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 89

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh82.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €7.3M vs market €15.0M
Expected appreciationLow-21% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.94
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €17.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2993 (98% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.36
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.40
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
82 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.94 (rank 3)
Team strength (Elo)
1378
Opponent strength
1490
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€7.2M – €21.2M

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-104 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -19% (IQR -53% to +29%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26SV Werder BremenBundesligaAM34299398%480.360.40149013780.94
2024/25SV Werder BremenBundesligaAM32284693%550.320.32149014830.94
2023/24SV Werder BremenBundesligaAM33261585%470.380.41152314591.01
2022/23SV Werder BremenBundesligaAM27152050%130.240.31154913931.04
2020/21SV Werder BremenBundesligaAM22118139%040.300.41154913841.06

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26World CupAustria320610—
2025/26Dfb PokalSV Werder Bremen19000—
2024/25Dfb PokalSV Werder Bremen327001—
2023/24Dfb PokalSV Werder Bremen19000—
2022/23Dfb PokalSV Werder Bremen215410—
2020/21Dfb PokalSV Werder Bremen318000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Moussa Sissoko
Premier League · 2016
27€13.0M€18.0Mrose
Diego Laxalt
Serie A · 2017
24€7.5M€12.0Mrose
Angelo Fulgini
Ligue 1 · 2022
26€12.0M€7.0Mfell
Stijn Spierings
Ligue 1 · 2023
27€6.0M€2.0Mfell
Răzvan Marin
Serie A · 2022
26€12.0M€2.7Mfell
Christian Günter
Bundesliga · 2020
27€9.5M€12.0Mrose
Jordan Veretout
Serie A · 2018
25€18.0M€20.0Mflat
Ivelin Popov
Premier Liga · 2015
28€9.5M€5.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
31 Jul 2020Wolfsberger ACWerder BremenFree / loan€2.0M
5 Feb 2019Werder BremenWolfsberger ACFree / loan€800k
3 Jan 2019SalzburgWerder Bremen€1.0M€800k
19 Aug 2017Sturm GrazSalzburg€600k€350k
1 Jul 2016Sturm Graz IISturm GrazUnknownData unavailable
27 Jan 2016Stmk.-Sturm U18Sturm Graz IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Stmk.-Sturm U16Stmk.-Sturm U18UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Stmk.-Sturm U15Stmk.-Sturm U16UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Sturm Graz YthStmk.-Sturm U15UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Vasoldsberg J.Sturm Graz YthUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.