Nordi Mukiele
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Nordi Mukiele's performance-implied value at EUR 12.5M-27.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.1M-21.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.3M-13.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 13
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 92.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €15.1M vs market €16.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -34% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2787 (82% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.23
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.25
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 92 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1496
- Opponent strength
- 1625
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.3M – €13.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 52 pts; changed club; team strength down (-186 Elo); league level up (+126 Elo); relative output up 343% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -65% to +21%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sunderland AFC | Premier League | CB | 32 | 2787 | 81% | 3 | 4 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 1625 | 1496 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 15 | 896 | 29% | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 1553 | 1681 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | RB | 16 | 793 | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1464 | 1700 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | RB | 19 | 1133 | 33% | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | 0.11 | 1411 | 1672 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | RM | 28 | 1845 | 60% | 1 | 4 | 0.24 | 0.23 | 1540 | 1663 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | RM | 28 | 1678 | 55% | 3 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.17 | 1535 | 1657 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | RB | 25 | 1783 | 58% | 3 | 3 | 0.30 | 0.13 | 1522 | 1700 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | RB | 19 | 1225 | 40% | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.08 | 1479 | 1650 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | CB | 33 | 2791 | 82% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 1444 | 1438 | 0.85 |
| 2016/17 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | RB | 17 | 1444 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1447 | 1380 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Sunderland AFC | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 359 | 1 | 1 | 1658 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 327 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain | 3 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 1604 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain | 4 | 109 | 0 | 0 | 1538 |
| 2022/23 | Trophee Des Champions | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1457 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | RB Leipzig | 6 | 485 | 1 | 1 | 1722 |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 2 | 149 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | RB Leipzig | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1645 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | RB Leipzig | 7 | 550 | 1 | 0 | 1635 |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 5 | 374 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | RB Leipzig | 10 | 697 | 0 | 0 | 1646 |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | RB Leipzig | 5 | 346 | 0 | 0 | 1540 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | RB Leipzig | 3 | 174 | 0 | 0 | 1349 |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 4 | 159 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Brooks Bundesliga · 2019 | 26 | €15.0M | €14.0M | flat |
| Aaron Cresswell Premier League · 2018 | 29 | €12.0M | €6.5M | fell |
| Florian Grillitsch Bundesliga · 2024 | 29 | €6.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Fabian Schär Premier League · 2022 | 31 | €7.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Federico Fernández Premier League · 2020 | 31 | €5.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Jannik Vestergaard Premier League · 2021 | 29 | €18.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Tyrone Mings Premier League · 2020 | 27 | €22.5M | €30.0M | rose |
| Lucas Digne Premier League · 2019 | 26 | €30.0M | €35.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2025 | PSG | Sunderland | €12.0M | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Leverkusen | PSG | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 28 Aug 2024 | PSG | Leverkusen | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 26 Jul 2022 | Leipzig | PSG | €12.0M | €20.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Montpellier | Leipzig | €16.0M | €14.0M |
| 6 Jan 2017 | Stade Lavallois | Montpellier | €1.5M | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Stade Laval B | Stade Lavallois | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Stade Laval U19 | Stade Laval B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Stade Laval U17 | Stade Laval U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Paris FC U17 | Stade Laval U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Paris FC Yth. | Paris FC U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.