Marc Cucurella
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Marc Cucurella's performance-implied value at EUR 26.2M-53.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 27.9M-54.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 20.9M-35.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 6
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 97.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €44.2M vs market €50.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -47% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2710 (79% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.17
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 98 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1615
- Opponent strength
- 1586
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €20.9M – €35.8M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-84 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -56% to -8%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | LB | 34 | 2710 | 79% | 1 | 4 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 1586 | 1615 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | LB | 36 | 2992 | 87% | 5 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 1555 | 1699 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | LB | 21 | 1785 | 52% | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 1594 | 1629 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | LB | 24 | 1678 | 49% | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 1560 | 1579 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Premier League | LB | 35 | 3092 | 90% | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 1581 | 1537 | 1.17 |
| 2021/22 | Getafe CF | Laliga | LB | 1 | 22 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1501 | 1458 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Getafe CF | Laliga | LM | 37 | 3249 | 95% | 3 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.26 | 1561 | 1471 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Getafe CF | Laliga | LM | 37 | 3250 | 95% | 1 | 6 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 1546 | 1579 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | SD Eibar | Laliga | LM | 31 | 2356 | 69% | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 1560 | 1531 | 1.14 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Chelsea FC | 9 | 721 | 0 | 0 | 1687 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Spain | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 2 | 145 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 2 | 135 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 2 | 178 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Chelsea FC | 8 | 412 | 0 | 0 | 1705 |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Brighton & Hove Albion | 2 | 155 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 2 | 76 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Getafe CF | 8 | 409 | 0 | 0 | 1639 |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | SD Eibar | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Torres Premier League · 2024 | 27 | €45.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Joachim Andersen Premier League · 2023 | 27 | €30.0M | €27.0M | flat |
| Michael Keane Premier League · 2019 | 26 | €30.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Axel Disasi Premier League · 2024 | 26 | €40.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Iñigo Martínez Laliga · 2020 | 29 | €25.5M | €25.0M | flat |
| Diego Carlos Laliga · 2020 | 27 | €32.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Harry Maguire Premier League · 2019 | 26 | €50.0M | €45.0M | flat |
| Eric Dier Premier League · 2023 | 29 | €18.0M | €8.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2022 | Brighton | Chelsea | €65.3M | €28.0M |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Getafe | Brighton | €18.0M | €20.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Barcelona | Getafe | €11.8M | €18.0M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Getafe | Barcelona | Free / loan | €18.0M |
| 18 Jul 2019 | Barcelona | Getafe | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 16 Jul 2019 | SD Eibar | Barcelona | €4.0M | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Barcelona | SD Eibar | €2.0M | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | SD Eibar | Barcelona | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 31 Aug 2018 | Barcelona | SD Eibar | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Barcelona B | Barcelona | Unknown | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Barça U19 | Barcelona B | Unknown | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Barça U18 | Barça U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Barça U16 | Barça U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Espanyol Youth | Barça U16 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.