Martin Erlić

The model rates Martin Erlić's performance-implied value at EUR 2.0M-6.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-4.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.4M-3.8M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

838 (42% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.11

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.05

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

60 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.47 (rank 12)

Team strength (Elo)

1562

Opponent strength

1256

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

insufficient

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.4M – €3.8M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -42% (IQR -64% to -31%).

• ▲Small sample: 838 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

24 (DEF)

Relative output kept

60%–139%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

71%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.