Declan Rice

The model rates Declan Rice's performance-implied value at EUR 70.7M-114.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 62.7M-145.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 63.0M-117.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.74x the positional average in the league (3099 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

3099 (91% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.32

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.16

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

100 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

1.30 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1876

Opponent strength

1578

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€63.0M – €117M

Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+62 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -19% (IQR -42% to +25%).

• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.