Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jurgen Ekkelenkamp's performance-implied value at EUR 4.5M-13.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.8M-11.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.7M-13.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.82x the positional average in the league (2205 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 46
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 74.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €9.2M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2205 (65% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.37
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.40
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 75 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1442
- Opponent strength
- 1523
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.7M – €13.4M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 45% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +1% (IQR -18% to +51%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CM | 31 | 2205 | 64% | 5 | 4 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 1523 | 1442 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CM | 34 | 1896 | 55% | 3 | 2 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 1500 | 1389 | 0.99 |
| 2024/25 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 1 | 67 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1268 | 1442 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 29 | 2132 | 79% | 5 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 1376 | 1492 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 27 | 1885 | 62% | 5 | 7 | 0.57 | 0.41 | 1311 | 1497 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Hertha BSC | Bundesliga | CM | 21 | 710 | 23% | 3 | 0 | 0.38 | 0.35 | 1518 | 1385 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 15 | 648 | 21% | 3 | 2 | 0.69 | 0.21 | 1317 | 1722 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | AM | 4 | 131 | 6% | 1 | 1 | 1.37 | 0.20 | 1280 | 1680 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 3 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 0.11 | 1224 | 1746 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 3 | 13 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1276 | 1627 | 0.59 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 2 | 39 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 2 | 116 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Royal Antwerp FC | 4 | 275 | 0 | 0 | 1662 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Royal Antwerp FC | 2 | 121 | 0 | 0 | 1435 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Royal Antwerp FC | 2 | 158 | 0 | 0 | 1403 |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | Hertha BSC | 1 | 55 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1612 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 4 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1583 |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 4 | 89 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 3 | 188 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1536 |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | 1 | 30 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1830 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahdi Camara Ligue 1 · 2024 | 26 | €10.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Sandi Lovrić Serie A · 2023 | 25 | €10.0M | €8.5M | flat |
| Aleix García Laliga · 2023 | 26 | €10.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Daniele Baselli Serie A · 2017 | 25 | €7.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Luca Cigarini Serie A · 2013 | 27 | €7.5M | €6.0M | fell |
| Jean-Ricner Bellegarde Ligue 1 · 2023 | 25 | €10.0M | €18.0M | rose |
| Michail Antonio Premier League · 2017 | 27 | €18.0M | €15.0M | flat |
| Andrea Bertolacci Serie A · 2015 | 24 | €15.0M | €10.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2024 | Royal Antwerp | Udinese | €5.3M | €4.5M |
| 7 Aug 2022 | Hertha BSC | Royal Antwerp | €5.0M | €3.5M |
| 27 Aug 2021 | Ajax | Hertha BSC | €3.0M | €3.2M |
| 12 Sept 2019 | Ajax U21 | Ajax | Unknown | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Ajax U19 | Ajax U21 | Unknown | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Ajax U17 | Ajax U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Ajax Youth | Ajax U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Almere City FC | Ajax Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.