Berke Özer
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Berke Özer's performance-implied value at EUR 4.4M-12.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.4M-13.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.6M-18.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 49
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 80.5th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €10.5M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +5% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2925 (96% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.03
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 81 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1536
- Opponent strength
- 1464
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.6M – €18.3M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+307 Elo); league level up (+199 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +17% (IQR -42% to +51%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | GK | 32 | 2835 | 93% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 1464 | 1547 | 0.88 |
| 2025/26 | Eyüpspor | Super Lig | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1228 | 1204 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Eyüpspor | Super Lig | GK | 34 | 3015 | 93% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1285 | 1229 | 0.39 |
| 2022/23 | Ümraniyespor | Super Lig | GK | 5 | 450 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1233 | 1164 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | GK | 14 | 1183 | 35% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1246 | 1422 | 0.42 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | LOSC Lille | 12 | 1110 | 0 | 0 | 1516 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Fenerbahce | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1527 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphane Ruffier Ligue 1 · 2013 | 27 | €9.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Tomas Koubek Ligue 1 · 2018 | 26 | €7.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Anthony Lopes Ligue 1 · 2016 | 26 | €13.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Aleksandr Belenov Premier Liga · 2013 | 27 | €6.5M | €8.0M | rose |
| Alexander Nübel Ligue 1 · 2023 | 27 | €8.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Onur Kivrak Super Lig · 2014 | 26 | €11.0M | €6.8M | fell |
| Mike Maignan Ligue 1 · 2020 | 25 | €17.5M | €35.0M | rose |
| Thomas Strakosha Serie A · 2020 | 25 | €20.0M | €7.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2025 | Eyüpspor | Lille | €4.5M | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Ümraniyespor | Eyüpspor | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 17 Jan 2023 | Eyüpspor | Ümraniyespor | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 12 Jan 2023 | Portimonense | Eyüpspor | Unknown | €3.0M |
| 1 Sept 2022 | Fenerbahçe | Portimonense | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | KVC Westerlo | Fenerbahçe | Free / loan | €1.1M |
| 20 Jul 2019 | Fenerbahçe | KVC Westerlo | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 11 Jul 2018 | Altinordu | Fenerbahçe | €2.5M | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Altinordu U17 | Altinordu | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Altinordu U16 | Altinordu U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Altinordu Yth | Altinordu U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 4 Jan 2013 | Bucaspor Yth | Altinordu Yth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.