Gijs Smal

The model rates Gijs Smal's performance-implied value at EUR 1.1M-2.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.9M-5.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-3.9M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

876 (29% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.20

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.09

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

40 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.43 (rank 15)

Team strength (Elo)

1423

Opponent strength

1264

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.6M – €3.9M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 15 pts; team strength down (-142 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -45% to -25%).

• ▲Small sample: 876 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

82 (DEF)

Relative output kept

65%–166%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

78%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.